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Playing & Trading Strategy

You are looking only at the call/put option, but there is more to it than that...Consider the rest of the numbers...

Posted by: Port Value League Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on May 02, 13:23 in response to skeptech's post Numbers to consider

I am certain that the larger brains in the audience can educate us way more than I can, but I also believe everyone will agree that the profit/value of a stock is not related to its call/put; in this case, 155.  155 is simply a call/put OPTION; essentially, another 2 "unrelated" stocks altogether.  The value of the moviestock is currently 367.69.  At a 2.7 adjust ratio, IRON 2 does not need to beat Dark Knight to make profit.  It needs to break 136.18. 

So, even with a WO of less than 155, the MOVIESTOCK can make money if the Weekend adjust takes it to any number higher than 367.69.  Last R/S numbers put it at mid 150's.  The most recent is that it might be an uptake of another 5 Mil.  Thus, the Post Weekend Adjust on this movie COULD be anywhere from 405-432; a difference +37.31 to +64.31 (if the RS numbers are accurate).  Assuming there is no calculator handy, that's a POTENTIAL profit of 1.865M to 3.215M based on R/S predict. 

The call/put stocks need Ironman to beat Dark Knight, but the moviestock does not.





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The Senior (SENIR) 100 3.43 (-0.35)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.43 (-0.35)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.43 (-0.35)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 12.96 (-0.25)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 12.96 (-0.25)          Flow (FLOW) 30317 2.09 (0.00)          Ernest Cole: Lost and Found (ECLAF) 134817 0.46 (-0.01)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 5000 73.91 (0.00)          Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 4000 81.76 (0.00)          Tom Hardy (THARD) 4000 151.63 (0.00)          Helen Mirren (HMIRR) 5000 87.89 (0.00)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.43 (-0.35)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.02 (+0.02)          Ben Platt (BPLAT) 993 50.06 (0.00)          Ben Platt (BPLAT) 5999 50.06 (0.00)          The Senior (SENIR) 5 3.43 (-0.35)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 40000 20.37 (-0.06)          Jacob Marley (MRLEY) 50000 5.61 (+0.01)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 40000 20.37 (-0.06)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 40000 16.22 (+0.55)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 12.96 (-0.25)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 1200 8.94 (+0.45)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 5000 8.94 (+0.45)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 6000 73.91 (0.00)          Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 4000 81.76 (0.00)          Sam Raimi (SRAIM) 1000 184.30 (0.00)          Sam Raimi (SRAIM) 3999 184.30 (0.00)          Tom Hardy (THARD) 4000 151.63 (0.00)          Helen Mirren (HMIRR) 999 87.89 (0.00)          Helen Mirren (HMIRR) 6000 87.89 (0.00)          Ben Platt (BPLAT) 7000 50.06 (0.00)          Josh Hartnett (JHART) 5993 64.51 (0.00)          Den of Thieves 2: Pantera (DENO2) 50000 27.83 (+0.02)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 244 16.22 (+0.55)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 170.82 (-0.01)          Andrew Garfield (AGARF) 6993 55.01 (0.00)          Ben Platt (BPLAT) 6000 50.06 (0.00)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 6000 73.91 (0.00)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 9.14 (+0.05)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 1999 9.14 (+0.05)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 8888 12.96 (-0.25)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 10000 5.62 (0.00)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 50000 5.62 (0.00)          Felicity Jones (FJONE) 999 57.27 (0.00)          Felicity Jones (FJONE) 999 57.27 (0.00)          Dominic Cooper (DCOOP) 999 37.59 (0.00)          Dominic Cooper (DCOOP) 999 37.59 (0.00)          Isabella Rossellini (IROSS) 5999 7.23 (0.00)          Isabella Rossellini (IROSS) 11999 7.23 (0.00)          Eddie Murphy (EMURP) 999 75.29 (0.00)