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When looking at Award Options, adding up all of the prices of a particular categories options totals this:
Posted by: ndmaster on Jan 28, 20:58
Pic- 19.25
Dir- 21.84
Actor- 26.47
Actress- 26.66
Sup Act- 18.84
Sup Actress- 21.52
Adapted- 24.32
Original- 24.39
They all (each group) started out equalling 25, and eventually, they will all equal 25 at delist. Some are higher than that now, some are substantially lower. What do you think this means? What does it mean for your strategy if you haven't already taken positions? I'll update it and re-post maybe once a week on Sundays if I remember.
When looking at Award Options, adding up all of the prices of a particular categories options totals this: ndmaster Jan 28, 20:58
They are priced so that if a player buys everything on the day of IPO, they will break even at time of delist. vanssa Jan 29, 18:17
Good job ignoring my questions, which I bolded for emphasis. ndmaster Jan 30, 00:03
That happens every year. Generally, categories with a single frontrunner have falling totals. {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 05, 15:47
... So now, buying all 10 Best Picture is guaranteed profit even if there's a surprise winner. {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 05, 16:03
Updated totals. Plus a little analysis ndmaster Feb 05, 22:52
Actor and Actress have two frontrunners. Director is still significantly below 25. {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 06, 06:55
Screenplay usually doesn't spark much passion. {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 06, 07:01
Supporting A/A each have a single frontrunner. {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 06, 07:06
Buying all Supporting and all Pic remain guaranteed profiteers.0 ribwoods1 Feb 06, 07:14
Yeah, but nowhere near as much as buying the favorite and shorting the rest. ndmaster Feb 06, 10:28
Of course not {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 07, 07:10
It means traders are more confident on the ones that won’t win, less confident on who will win. MattW Feb 07, 12:56
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