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THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
Sketch A girl's Sketch drawings come to life and unleash monsters on her small town. Tony Hale, D'Arcy Carden and Bianca...
Sinners Michael B. Jordan reunites with writer-director Ryan Coogler for an event movie rumored to involve vampires set in...
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Updated totals. Plus a little analysis
Posted by: ndmaster on Feb 05, 22:52 in response to ndmaster's post When looking at Award Options, adding up all of the...
Pic-19.25 now 18.35 down .9
Dir- 21.84 now 23.38 up 1.54
Actor-26.47 now 28.88 up 2.41
Actress- 26.66 now 28.33 up 1.67
Sup Act- 18.84 now 19.48 up .66
Sup Actress- 21.52 now 21.35 down .17
Adapted- 24.32 now 24.41 up .09
Original 24.39 now 24.66 up .27
So, the first four categories had the largest change in the last week (roughly). Director, Actor and Actress going up the most, while Pic dropping the most. This looks like more indecision in the Director, Actor and Actress categories and more certainty in the Pic category.
My question this week is: Is HSX just trend following (Globes) or informed trading? Because it's all just lined up with the Golden Globes winners.
When looking at Award Options, adding up all of the prices of a particular categories options totals this: ndmaster Jan 28, 20:58
They are priced so that if a player buys everything on the day of IPO, they will break even at time of delist. vanssa Jan 29, 18:17
Good job ignoring my questions, which I bolded for emphasis. ndmaster Jan 30, 00:03
That happens every year. Generally, categories with a single frontrunner have falling totals. {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 05, 15:47
... So now, buying all 10 Best Picture is guaranteed profit even if there's a surprise winner. {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 05, 16:03
Updated totals. Plus a little analysis ndmaster Feb 05, 22:52
Actor and Actress have two frontrunners. Director is still significantly below 25. {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 06, 06:55
Screenplay usually doesn't spark much passion. {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 06, 07:01
Supporting A/A each have a single frontrunner. {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 06, 07:06
Buying all Supporting and all Pic remain guaranteed profiteers.0 ribwoods1 Feb 06, 07:14
Yeah, but nowhere near as much as buying the favorite and shorting the rest. ndmaster Feb 06, 10:28
Of course not {nm} ribwoods1 Feb 07, 07:10
It means traders are more confident on the ones that won’t win, less confident on who will win. MattW Feb 07, 12:56
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