HSX Forum

Movies

Just don't see it opening over $70m given the lack of name recognition for both cast and the character; may not open to $50m {nm}

Posted by: xiayun on Apr 17, 21:19 in response to unaturalx's post THOR

THOR unaturalx Apr 17, 17:41

possible explanations: 1)some traders don't believe it can open at 65; 2)people are freeing up money for other stocks; 3)people are riding Paul2k Apr 17, 17:46

Goofy trailer and not an established film franchise, too. Remember how low [IRNMN] was pre-release in 2008. {nm} dsbmanYTD2011 Apr 17, 17:49

may be hollywood is ODing on Portman.. she is in every movie coming out this year... :) {nm} b4bad Apr 17, 19:14

I caught the elevator on the ride back up, got off, and plan on riding it back up after the price drops. {nm} Panachevitz Apr 17, 19:38

Same reason I dumped it a month or so ago. Lame trailer, no established foundation, high price. {nm} DTXbro Apr 17, 17:53

Probably because traders haven't read the positive reviews that have been posted. {nm} secretstalker Apr 17, 18:12

a good movie doesnt necessarily translate to box office $$$. {nm} adrenalin112 Apr 17, 18:34

But worries about a movie based on trailers can be dissuaded by early positive reviews. {nm} secretstalker Apr 17, 18:45

Aren't comic book adaptations tired though? I just listened to Slashfilm/Collider's podcast on it...and sounds like it's good but not an GMov Apr 17, 19:12

Correct me if I'm wrong, but don't you generally hate everything? {nm} secretstalker Apr 17, 19:30

Nah dude. Me? Hardly. I just posted earlier that I thought Hanna was great. Most of my posts have been on movies that I've really enjoyed GMov Apr 17, 19:34

Agree on Green Lantern...looks like a stinker of comedic proportions. {nm} stevenj1127 Apr 17, 22:43

im thinking the worry comes from the repeated underpar openings in 2011. i view the trailer as a wash, not spectacular or terrible. {nm} adrenalin112 Apr 17, 22:23

If by tanking you mean coming down from a high of $209, almost every movie seems to get overinflated, then correct {nm} forlorne Apr 17, 20:06

An opening weekend of over $80 million was never very realistic {nm} forlorne Apr 17, 20:06

Only an occasional comic book reader myself... stevenj1127 Apr 17, 22:09

Just don't see it opening over $70m given the lack of name recognition for both cast and the character; may not open to $50m xiayun Apr 17, 21:19

directionally I agree, though that is a pretty strong w/e for movies. and it is the first tentpole of the summer season (May and fwd) {nm} GMov Apr 17, 21:50





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Bau: Artist at War (BAUAW) 20000 1.31 (-0.01)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 41.86 (0.00)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 99 156.96 (-2.68)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 3 27.68 (+2.19)          Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.30 (-0.11)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 3 27.68 (+2.19)          King (KING) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 10000 165.16 (+0.68)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 99 76.50 (+3.95)          The Dish aka Untitled Event Film (SKIES) 25000 112.89 (+1.06)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 12024 17.28 (-1.98)          Bau: Artist at War (BAUAW) 150000 1.31 (-0.01)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 32000 200.00 (-0.76)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 10000 164.02 (+0.02)          Topher Grace (TGRAC) 25000 24.37 (+0.62)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 24 91.03 (+1.03)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 32.09 (-0.04)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - Opening W (SONC3.OW) 38481 70.00 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 15000 356.04 (+0.22)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 H$70 Call (SONC3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Theater of Thought (THOTH) 12024 0.78 (-0.22)          Ballerina Overdrive (BALOD) 150000 12.66 (-0.08)          Mufasa: The Lion King H$70 Call (LION2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Standing on the Shoulders of Kit (SOTSK) 2024 2.23 (+0.46)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 60000 23.58 (-0.39)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 25000 91.03 (+1.03)          Mufasa: The Lion King H$70 Put (LION2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Babymetal Legend - 43 The Movie (BML43) 150000 0.59 (-0.02)          Rosario Dawson (RDAWS) 25000 27.85 (-1.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King H$70 Call (LION2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - Opening W (SONC3.OW) 100000 70.00 (0.00)          King (KING) 999 5.00 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King - Opening (LION2.OW) 100000 70.00 (0.00)          Rosario Dawson (RDAWS) 25000 27.85 (-1.00)          King (KING) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Assisted Living (ASLIV) 150000 0.82 (-0.04)          The Seed of the Sacred Fig (TSOSF) 150000 0.64 (-0.01)          King (KING) 1 5.00 (0.00)          Mark Strong (MSTRO) 25000 76.32 (-2.25)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 H$70 Call (SONC3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Mark Strong (MSTRO) 25000 76.32 (-2.25)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 25000 27.68 (+2.19)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 H$70 Put (SONC3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Cleaner (CENER) 10079 9.02 (-0.17)          Anemone (ANEMO) 150000 7.52 (-0.05)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - Opening W (SONC3.OW) 100000 70.00 (0.00)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 52682 27.68 (+2.19)          Morena Baccarin (MBACC) 25000 52.22 (+1.32)          Andorra (ANDOR) 150000 1.46 (-0.02)          Morena Baccarin (MBACC) 20000 52.22 (+1.32)