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I definately think it can open well above $46MM. Reviews will likely be very strong...I think there is interest that isn't yet showing up

Posted by: GMov on May 29, 17:01 in response to Facto's post Still, there's a really big difference between current...

in tracking.  I know several people who have said it's their number 1 movie for the summer.  It has not gotten a ton of buzz on twitter etc as Paramount has either done a bad job marketing it or is deliberately waiting to turn it up.  Reviews will come out June 1st and they should be very strong.  I think over the next two weeks, awareness will rise. 

It is opening on its own weekend on a decent weekend in the summer.  If the reviews are indeed very good, I do think it can open in excess of that.

Plus remember how the tracking didn't pick up interest in Bridesmaids that in reality moved up as reviews and WOM made its way out. 

RS: [XMEN4] mid-60s secretstalker May 29, 13:39

This may sound weird but I want to see all 6 of those films {nm} islander May 29, 13:41

it does especially with one of those in the list... unless you have daughter who wants to see it too.. .and she is 9 years old... {nm} b4bad May 29, 13:55

i think The Hangover is going to steal Xmen's thunder, unfortunately {nm} bananaz May 29, 13:58

I expect MTC to say $70 million and the normal rule to apply. {nm} secretstalker May 29, 14:09

Time for someone to explain the rule to me :) i see this every week and i have no idea what you guys are talking about :p {nm} idrom May 29, 14:20

if MTC is significantly higher than RS, the OW will be above MTC's estimate. If MTC is significantly lower than RS, the OW will be lower RogerMore May 29, 14:44

Couldn't that be simplified to "mtc is more accurate"? {nm} forlorne May 29, 14:52

Not really. The MTC/RS rule is a piece of logic on an of itself. {nm} Facto May 29, 16:36

sorry, in and of itself {nm} Facto May 29, 16:37

u better apologize !! {nm} kalelanalang May 29, 16:45

if mtc says 70 and the rule applies thatd be great. ive been predicting first class to break out (compared to some expectations) for a while bananaz May 29, 14:25

70 wouldn't be significant enough for the rule to apply - that would be less than 10% difference {nm} JDolphin May 29, 15:03

I'm stubbornly still thinking it's way too low on Super 8. From the buzz of the initial screenings, I think the reviews will build interest {nm} GMov May 29, 14:43

We are in concurrence. {nm} BionicMoron May 29, 15:30

Still, there's a really big difference between current price, and these tracking data. So, one thing is to argue whether it will do better Facto May 29, 16:31

I definately think it can open well above $46MM. Reviews will likely be very strong...I think there is interest that isn't yet showing up GMov May 29, 17:01

We'll see. Facto May 29, 19:49

i wanna see xmen but i hate james mcavoy. {nm} kalelanalang May 29, 16:40





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