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That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 12:43 in response to Ruthian23's post Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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The Beatles (BEAT1) 60000 75.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 59999 35.60 (-0.10)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 29.56 (+0.06)          Wicked (WICKD) 25000 305.98 (+4.50)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 25000 251.48 (-4.11)          Barbarella (BARBA) 59999 44.52 (-0.37)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 50000 21.20 (+1.82)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 50000 21.20 (+1.82)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 50000 21.20 (+1.82)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 50000 21.20 (+1.82)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 50000 21.20 (+1.82)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 50000 21.20 (+1.82)          I’m Still Here (IMSHR) 150000 1.88 (+0.02)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 50000 12.81 (-0.40)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 50000 3.46 (-0.54)          Wicked (WICKD) 10000 305.98 (+4.50)          American Son (AMRSN) 20000 1.51 (0.00)          American Sole (AMSOL) 20000 2.15 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 1000 170.50 (-0.33)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 150000 6.84 (-0.08)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 50000 6.84 (-0.08)          Adrift (ADRIF) 50000 4.61 (-0.03)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 9.74 (0.00)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 50000 41.26 (0.00)          A Special Relationship (ASREL) 20000 0.95 (+0.01)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          A Manual for Cleaning Women (AMFCW) 20000 0.29 (+0.02)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 20000 1.17 (+0.02)          2073 (2073) 40000 1.31 (-0.01)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 25000 266.53 (-10.29)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.83 (+0.07)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Inheritance (NHTNC) 150000 2.35 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 50000 12.81 (-0.40)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 50000 3.46 (-0.54)          Djimon Hounsou (DHOUN) 25000 71.75 (-1.30)          Djimon Hounsou (DHOUN) 25000 71.75 (-1.30)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 50000 13.01 (-1.02)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 49999 3.46 (-0.54)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 49999 12.81 (-0.40)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 99999 207.63 (+2.20)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 99999 207.63 (+2.20)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 0.71 (-0.15)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 39.67 (+0.37)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.33 (+0.12)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 36.37 (+0.12)          Paul Mescal (PMESC) 25000 18.23 (+0.50)          Fred Hechinger (FHECH) 25000 21.80 (+0.62)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 170.50 (-0.33)