HSX Forum

Movies

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm}

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 15:51 in response to accountant_4_Jesus' post As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 10000 8.66 (+1.20)          Acorns (ACRNS) 600 85.02 (+1.42)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 7500 10.00 (0.00)          Acorns (ACRNS) 600 85.02 (+1.42)          Acorns (ACRNS) 6000 85.02 (+1.42)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 20000 8.66 (+1.20)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 14000 8.66 (+1.20)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 15000 8.55 (+3.78)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 10000 8.55 (+3.78)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 600 11.70 (-0.30)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 10000 11.70 (-0.30)          They Found Us (THFUS) 1000 15.01 (-0.86)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.70 (-0.30)          Merlin (MERLN) 50000 0.81 (-0.01)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 150000 29.73 (+0.10)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 174.45 (-2.10)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 118.47 (+1.06)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 150000 170.82 (-1.14)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 150000 146.52 (-0.66)          Avatar: Fire and Ash aka Avatar (AVAT3) 150000 438.66 (-0.03)          Striking Rescue (STRSC) 150000 1.25 (+0.11)          Striking Rescue (STRSC) 150000 1.25 (+0.11)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 1 169.20 (-0.15)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 90000 10.00 (0.00)          Ernest Cole: Lost and Found (ECLAF) 5 0.52 (-0.02)          A Real Pain (ARLPN) 5 7.72 (-0.13)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.66 (+1.20)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.66 (+1.20)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 3000 27.45 (-0.14)          Red One (REDON) 50000 86.13 (-1.90)          Nick Robinson (NROBI) 2000 18.21 (+0.10)          Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 20000 69.16 (-0.05)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 26000 45.06 (-0.66)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 15000 280.90 (+2.50)          Wicked (WICKD) 15000 293.55 (+5.56)          Red One (REDON) 10000 86.13 (-1.90)          One of Them Days aka Untitled Ke (1OTDS) 150000 17.46 (-0.01)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 20000 47.13 (+0.02)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 150000 170.82 (-1.14)          Untitled Monsterverse Godzilla x (GOKO3) 137 115.57 (+0.63)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Spellbound (SPLBN) 150000 0.35 (-0.14)          Spellbound (SPLBN) 150000 0.35 (-0.14)          Cooper Hoffman (CHOFF) 25000 7.85 (-0.05)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 40000 210.74 (+1.20)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 6.44 (+0.22)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.70 (+0.70)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.10 (-0.12)