HSX Forum

Movies

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so.

Posted by: accountant_4_Jesus (a.k.a del_SJW_accountant_4_Jesus) on Nov 16, 15:43 in response to PVL Admin (Rocket123)'s post I disagree.

I think it will probably be in line with TWW's estimates, just shy of $150M opening weekend.

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 150000 65.30 (-0.75)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 48.75 (-0.21)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Line (THLIN) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          The Line (THLIN) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Three Bags Full: A Sheep Detecti (3BAGF) 150000 24.43 (-0.04)          The Legend of Ochi (LOCHI) 150000 15.19 (+0.05)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 150000 45.14 (-0.58)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 150000 45.14 (-0.58)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.65 (+0.01)          The Last Adventures Of Constance (CVERT) 150000 1.30 (-0.01)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 19.15 (-0.25)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 8.44 (+3.67)          Helena Bonham Carter (HBCAR) 25000 38.31 (+0.25)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 93090 155.14 (+0.79)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 2.96 (-1.19)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 210 174.45 (-2.10)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.65 (-0.35)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Werewolves (WEREW) 2500 15.98 (-0.52)          Bullitt (BULIT) 500 28.49 (+0.10)          Bullitt (BULIT) 5000 28.49 (+0.10)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 150000 176.94 (+1.21)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 150000 176.94 (+1.21)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.25 (+0.08)          Wicked (WICKD) 25000 293.53 (+5.54)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 6.61 (+0.38)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.25 (+0.08)          Striking Rescue (STRSC) 150000 1.21 (+0.07)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 1 89.48 (+0.68)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 69.53 (-0.18)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.12 (-0.10)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.25 (+0.08)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 29.53 (+0.38)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 29.53 (+0.38)          The Movie Teller (MVTEL) 150000 0.05 (+0.04)          The Movie Teller (MVTEL) 150000 0.05 (+0.04)          The Six Triple Eight (6TRP8) 65000 0.01 (-0.03)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 150000 170.20 (-1.76)          Werewolves (WEREW) 50000 15.98 (-0.52)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 150000 354.79 (-1.12)          CW: The Librarians: The Next Cha (LIBTNC) 90 7.47 (+0.13)          Red One (REDON) 150000 86.13 (-1.90)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 293.53 (+5.54)          Michelle Dockery (MDOCK) 25000 35.25 (+0.57)          Michelle Dockery (MDOCK) 25000 35.25 (+0.57)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 100000 118.56 (+2.53)          Liam Neeson (LNEES) 25000 3.19 (-0.20)          Liam Neeson (LNEES) 25000 3.19 (-0.20)          CBS: Watson (WATSON) 25000 12.34 (-0.38)