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+ Previous B.O> {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Jan 10, 13:42 in response to Antibody's post Multipliers are based on historical average. Without any...

Another sign pointing to wide release, new [IRNLD] posterwith Friday's date. Antibody Jan 10, 13:34

What's the mult for a limited release expanding wide? 2.5? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:36

... I mean, over a four-day weekend, of course. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:37

Multipliers are based on historical average. Without any data, we default to 2.2*Box Office Friday-Monday {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:41

+ Previous B.O> Antibody Jan 10, 13:42

Yay! I was right! :D {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:42

what about ltd -> to exp 3.0 deal? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:42

Hmm, I suppose we could use 3.0 without the box office for Monday. That may come closer to the delist pirce. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:48

Delist price is determined by how well a film is received by the movie-going public, not by the adjust. Jus' sayin'. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:51

maybe the adjust mult needs to be determined by a combination of CinemaScore and RottenTomato scores then:) {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:57

So then DVNSD's adjust should've been -175? :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:58

The multipliers came from the actual delist price divided opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:05

The point of the Adjust to bring the price closer to the delist price by using a multiplier that's the average of all films. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:06

I'm finding that movies generally have better legs now than they did ten years ago so would HSX consider upping the mult accordingly? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 14:17

i guess you would need to support your claim by providing hard data.... whole reason why mult dropped from 2.9 to 2.8 to 2.7 is because Oleg Max Jan 10, 14:27

The histrorical data through 2010 has shown a downward trend towards 2.6. Haven't looked at 2011. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:33

with horror films typically 2.0 delist, and animated fam films 3.5, time to go to seperate mults? i mean if we're changing everything :) {nm} islander Jan 10, 14:35

re:islander, or no adjust at all. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:39

Re: DMac, if there's no adjust, that will lessen the traffic to your site, and also lessen the amount of players in this fine game. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 14:44

I think 2011 will show it evening out.. although I guess movies like Twilight are going to screw things up. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 14:37

I don't have time to collect the data right now but maybe when I have more time. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 15:28

as long as you'll receive a 3 day est from ERC, that should work, right? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:51

i dont understand why this comes up *every* time theres an odd weekend. glossary and calender are your friend and mistress :) {nm} islander Jan 10, 13:49

nevermind :/ {nm} islander Jan 10, 13:53

what are we getting for a multiplier, pls? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:38

I'm fairly certain it will be Previous BO + 2.2 * Fri-Mon. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:39





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The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 125000 3.15 (-1.00)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 5000 23.48 (-0.26)          Alan Kim (AKIM) 25000 35.57 (-0.37)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 85000 7.07 (+2.30)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 5000 19.87 (+0.04)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.76 (-0.24)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 5000 23.48 (-0.26)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 85000 9.09 (+1.63)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 25000 67.42 (-0.12)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 35000 9.09 (+1.63)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 50000 10.00 (0.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 85000 7.07 (+2.30)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 25000 174.48 (-2.07)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 85000 7.07 (+2.30)          Famous (FAMOS) 25000 20.51 (-1.42)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 35000 9.09 (+1.63)          Christine (CRSTN) 5000 26.56 (-0.10)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 25000 30.02 (+0.06)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 35000 9.09 (+1.63)          Madden (MADEN) 25000 28.74 (-0.01)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 7.07 (+2.30)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 95000 174.48 (-2.07)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 10000 65.87 (-0.18)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 100000 174.48 (-2.07)          Red One (REDON) 5000 87.11 (-0.92)          Red One (REDON) 25000 87.11 (-0.92)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 350 171.14 (+1.03)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.04 (+0.05)          Magpie (MGPIE) 150000 0.05 (+0.01)          Tyler Gillett (TYGIL) 1000 50.94 (+0.17)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 16592 55.44 (+0.27)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 400 255.27 (+2.65)          The Wild Robot $105M Blockbuster (TWRBT.BW) 25000 16.27 (+0.35)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 28.00 (-0.08)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 25000 8.16 (+0.34)          Juror No. 2 (JUROR) 149397 1.99 (+0.07)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 150000 21.59 (-0.13)          Moana 2 H$130 Call Wed-Sun (MOAN2.CA) 25000 6.20 (+0.15)          Juror No. 2 (JUROR) 603 1.99 (+0.07)          Red One (REDON) 150000 87.11 (-0.92)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 3000 47.50 (+0.21)          Red One (REDON) 150000 87.11 (-0.92)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 150000 15.12 (-0.14)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.09 (+1.63)          The Piano Lesson (TPLSN) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.09 (+1.63)