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re:islander, or no adjust at all. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Jan 10, 14:39 in response to islander's post with horror films typically 2.0 delist, and animated fam...

Another sign pointing to wide release, new [IRNLD] posterwith Friday's date. Antibody Jan 10, 13:34

What's the mult for a limited release expanding wide? 2.5? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:36

... I mean, over a four-day weekend, of course. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:37

Multipliers are based on historical average. Without any data, we default to 2.2*Box Office Friday-Monday {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:41

+ Previous B.O> {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:42

Yay! I was right! :D {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:42

what about ltd -> to exp 3.0 deal? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:42

Hmm, I suppose we could use 3.0 without the box office for Monday. That may come closer to the delist pirce. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:48

Delist price is determined by how well a film is received by the movie-going public, not by the adjust. Jus' sayin'. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:51

maybe the adjust mult needs to be determined by a combination of CinemaScore and RottenTomato scores then:) {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:57

So then DVNSD's adjust should've been -175? :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:58

The multipliers came from the actual delist price divided opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:05

The point of the Adjust to bring the price closer to the delist price by using a multiplier that's the average of all films. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:06

I'm finding that movies generally have better legs now than they did ten years ago so would HSX consider upping the mult accordingly? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 14:17

i guess you would need to support your claim by providing hard data.... whole reason why mult dropped from 2.9 to 2.8 to 2.7 is because Oleg Max Jan 10, 14:27

The histrorical data through 2010 has shown a downward trend towards 2.6. Haven't looked at 2011. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:33

with horror films typically 2.0 delist, and animated fam films 3.5, time to go to seperate mults? i mean if we're changing everything :) {nm} islander Jan 10, 14:35

re:islander, or no adjust at all. Antibody Jan 10, 14:39

Re: DMac, if there's no adjust, that will lessen the traffic to your site, and also lessen the amount of players in this fine game. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 14:44

I think 2011 will show it evening out.. although I guess movies like Twilight are going to screw things up. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 14:37

I don't have time to collect the data right now but maybe when I have more time. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 15:28

as long as you'll receive a 3 day est from ERC, that should work, right? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:51

i dont understand why this comes up *every* time theres an odd weekend. glossary and calender are your friend and mistress :) {nm} islander Jan 10, 13:49

nevermind :/ {nm} islander Jan 10, 13:53

what are we getting for a multiplier, pls? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:38

I'm fairly certain it will be Previous BO + 2.2 * Fri-Mon. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:39





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In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 1 23.50 (+0.13)          The Brutalist (BRUTL) 150000 4.69 (-0.07)          The Brutalist (BRUTL) 150000 4.69 (-0.07)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 150000 23.01 (-0.12)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 150000 23.01 (-0.12)          James Badge Dale (JBDAL) 25000 5.71 (+0.05)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 168.72 (-1.78)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 168.72 (-1.78)          Paul Anderson (PANDE) 25000 18.35 (+0.10)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 4.29 (+0.03)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.35 (+0.02)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.69 (+0.88)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.69 (+0.88)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 4.07 (+0.50)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 4.07 (+0.50)          Peter Sarsgaard (PSARS) 25000 51.03 (+0.16)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.27 (+0.81)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.27 (+0.81)          Werewolves (WEREW) 50000 16.60 (+0.19)          John Magaro (JMAGA) 25000 5.21 (+0.05)          Dark Army (DARKA) 149990 4.86 (+0.03)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 76.75 (+1.74)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 100000 168.72 (-1.78)          Bullitt (BULIT) 25000 28.35 (+0.01)          Assassination (ASSNT) 149999 13.62 (-0.39)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 76.75 (+1.74)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 4.07 (+0.50)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 50000 168.72 (-1.78)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.27 (+0.81)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 149999 14.15 (+1.14)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 75001 8.97 (-0.10)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 149999 13.81 (-0.15)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 13.81 (-0.15)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 149999 13.69 (+0.88)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 149999 33.53 (-0.03)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1 132.92 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 60000 168.72 (-1.78)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 117.39 (+0.44)          Werewolves (WEREW) 2500 16.60 (+0.19)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 5000 38.21 (+0.37)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 76.75 (+1.74)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 76.75 (+1.74)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 76.75 (+1.74)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 92514 76.75 (+1.74)          Wicked (WICKD) 1 306.27 (+0.37)          Wicked (WICKD) 99999 306.27 (+0.37)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 168.72 (-1.78)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 76.75 (+1.74)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 50000 76.75 (+1.74)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.27 (+0.81)