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Different franchises. SPID1 and SPID2 banked ~$400M. The best AVGNR prequel IRNMN topped out ~320M. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on May 02, 12:41 in response to jwammo's post 167, I beg your pardon, still gets the point across,...

Here's this weekend's prediction column. I'd love to know what you guys think so please feel free to leave your predictions FilmGo May 02, 11:35

Here's the link FilmGo May 02, 11:36

http://www.filmgo.net/BoxOfficePredictions/tabid/138/EntryId/552/The-Avengers-Assemble-to-Kick-Off-the-Summer.aspx FilmGo May 02, 11:36

I personally reckon somewhere between the $140-145 mark (reasoning inside) baronblacksheep May 02, 14:04

good number Oleg Max May 02, 11:47

Thanks Oleg. I think the film is going to do very well, despite MTC's $140 million call. FilmGo May 02, 11:52

Not that $140 million is bad! FilmGo May 02, 11:52

in this context it is, lol {nm} BorderLand May 02, 12:02

I say around 162... {nm} BorderLand May 02, 12:02

You're giving too much to #2,3,4,5. Take $1M off each and add to AVNGR, and we're seeing a $170M+ weekend! {nm} elchan May 02, 12:24

I think $145 to $150 million is on track, here's why REDKED May 02, 12:27

if you adjust spidey 3 numbers for inflation, it would be 174 today, and that doesn't account for 3D {nm} jwammo May 02, 12:30

167, I beg your pardon, still gets the point across, inflation and 3d tickets could more than make up for it {nm} jwammo May 02, 12:32

Different franchises. SPID1 and SPID2 banked ~$400M. The best AVGNR prequel IRNMN topped out ~320M. Antibody May 02, 12:41

But you are getting a bunch of superheroes versus just one. Ergo, higher box office. {nm} Tanker May 02, 12:46

It's not cumulative as their fans overlap between IRNM, HULK, THOR and CAPAM. {nm} Antibody May 02, 12:48

my thinking as well {nm} tealfan May 02, 12:51

but then again there's all that built-up anticipation for AVNGR {nm} tealfan May 02, 12:59

The best point made! {nm} dioneta May 02, 13:15

my thought was that Avengers doesn't have to do as well as spidey3 and can still be > 160 {nm} jwammo May 02, 12:48

Spidey 3 sucked ****, too. Reviews for Avengers are stellar. Tanker May 02, 12:43

No clue which indicator he used here for inflation.....but avg. ticket in 2007 = $6.88...avg. ticket in 2011 = $7.96 alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 12:51

haha, good points. avg ticket price is a better guide, of course, you are using 2011 #'s so adjust up a bit. {nm} jwammo May 02, 12:56

I was using CPI, btw {nm} jwammo May 02, 13:03

As much as there is fan overlap between IRNM, THOR, etc, I believe that there will be way more spent in family dollars for AVNGR, FilmGo May 02, 13:10

I think it 's a tad high. I'd go 155-160ish. The lack of news of midnight sellouts is alarming along with MTC #s. {nm} thatpj May 02, 12:39

First weekend in May openers don't do big midnight numbers. SM3 did 10M while IM2 did 7.5M {nm} Jay_Beezy May 02, 12:43

Midnights are much different now then they were when Spidey 3 came out. But I see your point. {nm} thatpj May 02, 12:56

Another thing, the Ultimate Marvel marathon the day before, which includes the Avengers at midnight, has sold out in most places. {nm} Jay_Beezy May 02, 13:02

Source? Link? {nm} thatpj May 02, 13:23

It sold out its first 10 announced theaters alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 13:58

Wow, a whole 10 theaters. {nm} BionicMoron May 02, 14:11

just for perspective alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 14:18

Alright.10 special event showings sold out. Great. There isn't any presale buzz like The Hunger Games though thatpj May 02, 14:42

What about this? Jay_Beezy May 02, 14:53

You just used Iron Man 2, to say that midnights did not matter in May. thatpj May 02, 15:00

Considering inflation in general admission, plus inflation for 3D and IMAX, it could easily outpace SM3's midnights. Jay_Beezy May 02, 15:18

This argument is pointless. I am repeating the same points I have already made from the beginning. thatpj May 02, 15:24

And your non-quantifiable assessment of buzz is fact? {nm} alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 15:29

So I guess you skipped over my post with the Hunger Games material? Sheesh, fanboys. 155M is not enough. {nm} thatpj May 02, 15:33

Honestly, don't care 1 way or the other alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 15:40

Maybe you should read the first post that started this whole thing. It was about midnight sellouts. thatpj May 02, 15:47

And once again I am repeating myself. {nm} thatpj May 02, 15:49

Gotcha...ask and lazy self will receive I guess alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 16:03

Poke it enough and it can flame {nm} alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 16:04

Aren't you 'assuming' that a lower midnight number equates a lower opening weekend? Just sayin'. {nm} Jay_Beezy May 02, 16:40

Not really. No one can show the thousands of midnight sellouts that The Hunger Games had. {nm} thatpj May 02, 17:34

Apparently midnight numbers mean everything to you when there's actually more to the weekend. {nm} Jay_Beezy May 02, 17:50

If you're asking me diirectly alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 14:58

No school on Sat and Sun, kids will be out for the mid-night showings, for sure. {nm} elchan May 02, 12:48

as opposed to the saturdays and sundays they do have school? {nm} alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 12:53

Point is midnight showings will not be affected by the fact that schools not out yet. {nm} elchan May 02, 14:36

gotcha....kids don't go to school on Sat and Sun....thx for the breaking info...any odds on the sun coming up tomorrow? alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 15:01

i give it no better than 50/50 {nm} jwammo May 02, 15:04

I believe his point was that Hunger Games had school on Friday as well, and sold out midnights everywhere, not sure though. {nm} arf May 02, 20:38





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