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Well, on the bright side, perhaps a low midnight means it won't be as frontloaded {nm}

Posted by: BorderLand (a.k.a NuWallflower) on May 04, 08:25 in response to Carcharodon's post Rollercoaster time - Nikki says $20M Midnights for Avengers

Rollercoaster time - Nikki says $20M Midnights for Avengers Carcharodon May 04, 08:20

Just a bit of my own analysis - this looks to be the highest 'School Night' midnight screening; all others were summer of TG holiday Carcharodon May 04, 08:25

great point re: school nights {nm} BorderLand May 04, 08:25

Nowhere close to HPOT8's 43.5 midnights, but still more than HGAME's 19.7. Now we wait to see which path it follows. {nm} Paul2k May 04, 08:25

DL updated to $18.7M {nm} Antibody May 04, 09:00

Well, on the bright side, perhaps a low midnight means it won't be as frontloaded BorderLand May 04, 08:25

Again, keep in mind that HP7.2 was Summer, no school and thus kids could rush out to see it... {nm} Carcharodon May 04, 08:26

yeah, I didn't think of that... anticipating sat should pretty huge, no? {nm} BorderLand May 04, 08:28

I'm thinking Friday afternoon into evening will be the juggernaut here, and hopefully Saturday performs well with the younger crowd {nm} Carcharodon May 04, 08:33

plus Harry has a hard core fan base and the midnight showing is an event, the Avengers will still perform strong {nm} nero5150 May 04, 11:12

Actually I think that's a huge number. Twilight and Potter are different beasts w/respect to midnight. More comparible are TDK, ROTF & HG. {nm} GMov May 04, 08:28

Some comparisons: BATM2 $18.5M, HPOT7 $24M, HPOT8 $43.5M, STAR3 $16.9M, TWLI2 $26.3M, TWLI3 $30M, IRNM2 $7.5M {nm} RogerMore May 04, 08:29

(THOR, CAPAM, GLANT and XMEN4 all had midnights in the $3M-$4M range) {nm} RogerMore May 04, 08:32

Strong number. I may have to up my prediction a bit. {nm} BionicMoron May 04, 08:29

I think the multiplier to use is TDK's 8.562x (OW/midnight) which implies $171MM for Avengers. Midnights are higher these days than '08 but GMov May 04, 08:31

And it comes in below Hunger Games midnights. TOLDJA! {nm} thatpj May 04, 10:27

Actual is $18.7M {nm} Antibody May 04, 08:58

Don't forget about Cinco De Mayo REDKED May 04, 09:01

How many were the Movie Marathon ticket vs just the Midnight showing? {nm} medv4380 May 04, 09:50





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The Beatles (BEAT1) 108891 75.00 (0.00)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 176 180.41 (+1.22)          Bagman (BAGMA) 50000 1.97 (-0.05)          Bagman (BAGMA) 150000 1.97 (-0.05)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 20000 15.77 (-0.04)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 20000 48.85 (-0.36)          Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 1000 140.00 (+0.98)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Famous (FAMOS) 9000 20.16 (-2.08)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 20000 48.85 (-0.36)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 6000 268.72 (-8.10)          Bird (BIRD) 150000 0.65 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 41263 75.00 (0.00)          Bird (BIRD) 150000 0.65 (0.00)          Blitz (BLTZ) 150000 0.63 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 150000 29.36 (-0.43)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 150000 29.36 (-0.43)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 268.72 (-8.10)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 175.78 (+4.95)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 175.78 (+4.95)          Blitz (BLTZ) 150000 0.63 (0.00)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 15000 268.72 (-8.10)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 268.72 (-8.10)          Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 100000 140.03 (-0.70)          Cleopatra (CLEOP) 20000 37.04 (-0.46)          Cleopatra - Paramount (CEOPT) 40000 8.25 (-0.02)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Luca Guadagnino (LGUAD) 25000 13.12 (-0.10)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Amy Ryan (AMRYA) 25000 15.47 (+0.29)          Amy Ryan (AMRYA) 25000 15.47 (+0.29)          Djimon Hounsou (DHOUN) 25000 71.78 (-1.27)          Djimon Hounsou (DHOUN) 25000 71.78 (-1.27)          Leigh Whannell (LWHAN) 25000 51.36 (+0.01)          Yankee Comandante (YANKC) 150000 0.06 (+0.05)          Yankee Comandante (YANKC) 150000 0.06 (+0.05)          Cleopatra (CLEOP) 20000 37.04 (-0.46)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 10.44 (+2.54)          The Last Adventures Of Constance (CVERT) 20000 1.26 (-0.01)          The Last Adventures Of Constance (CVERT) 20000 1.26 (-0.01)          Hypno-Hustler (HYPHU) 20000 17.17 (-0.02)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 5000 75.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 14542 75.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 10.44 (+2.54)          Hypno-Hustler (HYPHU) 20000 17.17 (-0.02)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 2000 279.78 (-1.76)