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Gold Derby means nothing, not handicapping. Oscar season is full of predictions, this one is just the LA Time's version.

Posted by: Moviesnob on Feb 23, 11:00 in response to KalElFan's post Well, if handicapping / odds meant nothing, 100/1...

Its pretty much the same as box office predictions. Nobody knows anything. 

first, they aren't professional handicappers. Second, if they have the square at 15/2 thats an indication there's a disconnect between them and the academy.

If I was betting, I would bet on the sqaure. I hope I am wrong.

 

Hmmm. THEGUARDIAN: 'The Act Of Killing': Don't Give An OSCAR To This Snuff Movie. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 22, 21:46

its a hit piece. this is written by a friend of the director of the square and wants the square to win. {nm} Moviesnob Feb 22, 22:00

they made these movies together. He is clearly biased and hopes in influence voters. He also has a history with both Josh and Werner Herzog Moviesnob Feb 22, 22:02

That is ironic since there is plenty of violence in The Square. {nm} thatpj Feb 22, 23:40

FWIW, Gold Derby (Handicapping) has The Act of Killing at 6/5, 20 Feet from Stardom at 8/5. The Square is 3rd but at a higher 15/2. So... KalElFan Feb 23, 07:36

These mean nothing. {nm} Moviesnob Feb 23, 10:27

Well, if handicapping / odds meant nothing, 100/1 longshots would be as likely to win as 1/5 uber-favorites. We'd all be rich! :-) {nm} KalElFan Feb 23, 10:51

Gold Derby means nothing, not handicapping. Oscar season is full of predictions, this one is just the LA Time's version. Moviesnob Feb 23, 11:00

New thread above -- professional handicapping actually has The Square about the same and The Act of Killing an even bigger favorite. Also... KalElFan Feb 23, 11:49

What an atrocity of an article. The Act Of Killing is the best documentary i've seen in at least this century. {nm} Filmstardust Feb 22, 23:30

And what was the best in the last century. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 22, 23:51

Could be "Shoah," or "Night and Fog," or "Medium Cool," or "Triumph of the Will," or "Hoop Dreams," or "Burden of Dreams". . . second gary Feb 23, 10:39

Then you have not seen The Cove {nm} ankurbe Feb 23, 00:52

+1. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 23, 00:58

I say that there is no "best documentary" of the last century. For folks that really love this stuff, why bother with best and worst? Willroast Feb 23, 13:34

The second he started using loaded terms like snuff was the second I stopped reading. {nm} numbersix_99 Feb 23, 04:32





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