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Seems low on SHOLM, possibly high on ALVN2

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a PreviewFund) on Dec 26, 09:07 in response to second gary's post ERC estimates: AVATR 75, SHOLM 68, ALVN2 50

But BOM has Friday estimates on Twitter

 

FRI BO: Sherlock $24.9M/$72-76M wknd, Avatar $23M/$75-80M, Alvin $14M/$46-51M, Complicated $7.1M/$21-24M, Up/Air $3.5M/$11M.

ERC estimates: AVATR 75, SHOLM 68, ALVN2 50 second gary Dec 26, 09:03

Seems low on SHOLM, possibly high on ALVN2 secretstalker Dec 26, 09:07

way low on SHOLM, ALVN2 is probably close and AVATR is a beast! {nm} lobogotti Dec 26, 09:10

It is really that good!!!!!! Went yestarday for my second viewing on IMAX REAL D. and its impressive, it may be worth a 3 gogreen Dec 26, 09:43

o rly? whats so good about the story in avatar? {nm} adrenalin112 Dec 26, 11:13

Seems that would be BOG - boxofficeguru (Gitesh Pandya), not BOM (Box Office Mojo) {nm} Facto Dec 26, 09:43

Yes, sorry... I meant BOG. {nm} secretstalker Dec 26, 09:45

No biggie, I just tend to trust BOM more than BOG.. ;-) Not sure if that is validated, though - just my feeling, for now {nm} Facto Dec 26, 09:55

Looks like RDJ Is On His Way To Being The Next Johnny Depp B.O Wise. {nm} wrongturn687 Dec 26, 10:01

True dat...but I don't think he has any indie duds laying around like Depp did after Pirates {nm} secretstalker Dec 26, 10:36

SOLOIST was pretty much the closest thing to that, POE is the lowest profile project he is attached to at this time. {nm} notfabio Dec 26, 11:43

That and the odds of POE actually being made are fairly slim. {nm} notfabio Dec 26, 11:44

Yeah, especially if James McTeigue's The Raven gets moving. but who knows? Maybe he'll be cast as Poe in that! :) {nm} secretstalker Dec 26, 12:22

boxoffice.com estimates are within these ranges, too: AVATR 72, SHOLM 70, ALVI2 45, CMPLC 22.5 second gary Dec 26, 10:54

Oops. No, SHOLM and AVATR are both below the BOM range estimates. {nm} second gary Dec 26, 10:58

So Avatar could break the record for biggest 2nd weekend of 75.166 (of TDK) even though it opened to half what TDK did. {nm} ceregon Dec 26, 11:03

all of the above are overestimated i see 68 for AVATR as well {nm} Smallville944 Dec 26, 20:32

that's like a 1% drop? amazing. {nm} JohnnyS2 Dec 26, 23:20





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The Lost Boys (LOSTB) 45000 1.71 (-0.02)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Barbarella (BARBA) 1000 30.00 (+0.04)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.96 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.96 (+0.10)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 1000 6.44 (+0.02)          Normal (NORML) 20256 21.40 (+0.65)          Madden (MADEN) 2000 19.41 (+0.04)          Normal (NORML) 20256 21.40 (+0.65)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 149998 17.09 (-0.03)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 150000 17.09 (-0.03)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.94 (+1.23)          Normal (NORML) 149998 21.40 (+0.65)          Normal (NORML) 129744 21.40 (+0.65)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.94 (+1.23)          Barbarella (BARBA) 45000 30.00 (+0.04)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 45000 6.44 (+0.02)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 46000 18.64 (+0.03)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 47000 13.98 (-0.09)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 47000 5.20 (-0.02)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 4.13 (-0.17)          Normal (NORML) 150000 21.40 (+0.65)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 5699 89.54 (+6.36)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 30000 60.87 (+2.14)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 74.14 (-0.86)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Christine (CRSTN) 149999 17.24 (+0.73)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 449.73 (-2.06)          Normal (NORML) 149999 21.40 (+0.65)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 62425 38.18 (-0.28)          Christine (CRSTN) 75000 17.24 (+0.73)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 149999 2.00 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 101835 74.14 (-0.86)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149999 40.00 (0.00)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 17.56 (+0.06)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 32665 89.54 (+6.36)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 149999 13.98 (-1.02)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 50542 67.38 (+0.06)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 10000 253.83 (-0.39)          Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man (PEKBL) 100000 0.77 (+0.05)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 74.14 (-0.86)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 10000 17.56 (+0.06)          The Authority (AUTHO) 150000 16.57 (-0.12)          The Authority (AUTHO) 150000 16.57 (-0.12)