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You're still doubting the film; it's making $700m+

Posted by: xiayun on Jan 24, 12:40 in response to secretstalker's post That might be pushing it. It's going to start losing...

It won't lose 3D and IMAX theaters until Alice in Wonderland, and that accounts for 80%+ of its gross right now.  The trajectory definitely says $700m.

 

Weekend estimates: [LEGIN] $18.31 [TOFRY] $14.05 [XMEAS] $6.575... Avatar is $37.175 secretstalker Jan 24, 08:27

Adjust numbers: LEGIN $49.44 (up $3.99), TOFRY $37.94 (down $7.86), XMEAS $17.75 (down $4.4) secretstalker Jan 24, 08:45

Thanks {nm} tonyj1 Jan 24, 08:46

That is only a 13.1% drop for AVATR from last week. {nm} tonyj1 Jan 24, 09:13

It will beat TITANIC even if it were to completely run out of steam and drop 50% every weekend from here on out. INSANE. {nm} dsbman Jan 24, 09:17

Forget Titanic, thats a given. The only question now is can it get to 700M domestically? {nm} tonyj1 Jan 24, 09:36

That might be pushing it. It's going to start losing theatres real fast on 2/12. All three movies will try to get 3,000 Plus. {nm} secretstalker Jan 24, 09:58

Yes it will lose theaters by then, I would think. My projections (which I seem to adjust higher every day) has AVATR at about 630 million tonyj1 Jan 24, 11:09

Has Beauty And the Beast 3D backed off the date? Haven't heard anything about that? {nm} dsbman Jan 24, 11:36

yeah, it got moved to next year a while ago... I just asked someone who might know about it the other day, in fact. secretstalker Jan 24, 11:46

They want to package it as a 20th Anniversary Celebration, the IMAX 2D only re-release in 68 theatres did 25 million notfabio Jan 24, 21:30

why would IMAX and 3D screens be lost? it is a huge money maker for these screens! ndmaster Jan 24, 12:34

Because you could lose the rights to future IMAX and Disney releases or worse terms notfabio Jan 24, 17:25

You're still doubting the film; it's making $700m+ xiayun Jan 24, 12:40

i dont see avatar losing theater count drastically. its playing too well for that. shawman Jan 24, 14:15

You do realize that digital theaters are used for more than just 3D movies, right? secretstalker Jan 24, 19:06

Hm... BOM has slightly different estimates secretstalker Jan 24, 09:17

Uh huh and isn't that where Nikki gets them? lol {nm} grammar Jan 24, 09:37

I don't know where she gets them from. I'm not Nikki. secretstalker Jan 24, 09:52





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150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 149999 15.41 (-0.24)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 12.64 (-0.06)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 5.65 (-0.04)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 4.90 (-0.04)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.01)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 60.29 (-0.15)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.14 (-0.06)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.15 (-0.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.87 (-0.06)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 25000 104.68 (-0.33)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 61.16 (-0.15)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Thank You Very Much (TYVM) 150000 0.88 (-0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 8.98 (+0.10)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 15.69 (+0.12)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          We Are Storror (WSTOR) 150000 1.89 (-0.01)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 156.60 (0.00)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 55000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 149999 15.41 (-0.24)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 12.64 (-0.06)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 5.65 (-0.04)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 4.90 (-0.04)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.01)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 60.29 (-0.15)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.14 (-0.06)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.15 (-0.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.87 (-0.06)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 25000 104.68 (-0.33)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 61.16 (-0.15)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Thank You Very Much (TYVM) 150000 0.88 (-0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 8.98 (+0.10)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 15.69 (+0.12)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          We Are Storror (WSTOR) 150000 1.89 (-0.01)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 156.60 (0.00)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 55000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 149999 15.41 (-0.24)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 12.64 (-0.06)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 5.65 (-0.04)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 4.90 (-0.04)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.01)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 60.29 (-0.15)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.14 (-0.06)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.15 (-0.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.87 (-0.06)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 25000 104.68 (-0.33)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 61.16 (-0.15)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Thank You Very Much (TYVM) 150000 0.88 (-0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 8.98 (+0.10)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 15.69 (+0.12)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          We Are Storror (WSTOR) 150000 1.89 (-0.01)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 156.60 (0.00)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 55000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 149999 15.41 (-0.24)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 12.64 (-0.06)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 5.65 (-0.04)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 4.90 (-0.04)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.01)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 60.29 (-0.15)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.14 (-0.06)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.15 (-0.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.87 (-0.06)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 25000 104.68 (-0.33)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 61.16 (-0.15)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Thank You Very Much (TYVM) 150000 0.88 (-0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 8.98 (+0.10)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 15.69 (+0.12)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          We Are Storror (WSTOR) 150000 1.89 (-0.01)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 156.60 (0.00)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 55000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 149999 15.41 (-0.24)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 12.64 (-0.06)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 5.65 (-0.04)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 4.90 (-0.04)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.01)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 60.29 (-0.15)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.14 (-0.06)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.15 (-0.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.87 (-0.06)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 25000 104.68 (-0.33)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 61.16 (-0.15)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Thank You Very Much (TYVM) 150000 0.88 (-0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 8.98 (+0.10)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 15.69 (+0.12)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)