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You're obviously rely heavily on a mid-week spring break bump here, which I'm not as sold on as you appear to be.
The weekday numbers could hold strong this week as spring breaks start. My kids aren't off until April this year, but I have no idea if that is typical or not. If so, then you are not getting your bump.
With very simple extrapolation of 33% weekend drops, mirroring this weekend, and weekdays accounting for 23% of the prior weekend total, mirroring last week, I come up with H$203.50. Clearly much lower than your "worst case". Stronger weekdays and H$210+ becomes reasonable.
The good thing is we should have some idea by Tuesday when the Monnday numbers come out.
delist estimate projections for zootopia... Mar 13, 10:57
egads... Mar 13, 11:01
nevermind {nm} Mar 13, 11:02
Very impressive analysis. I'll take those numbers but wouldn't be surprised to see it go higher :) {nm} Mar 13, 11:03
for the record, I don't think it can be seen, but my worst case scenario (in this data) for Zoot is $209.04 delist. Mar 13, 11:08
What are these drops? From previous day? From previous week? SpongeBob opened in feb 2015. {nm} Mar 13, 11:06
the website cut off a lot of my comments and data tables. Mar 13, 11:09
You're obviously rely heavily on a mid-week spring break bump here, which I'm not as sold on as you appear to be. Mar 13, 12:28
Yeah, you are right. Mar 13, 13:08
it'll be interesting to see the weekends actuals, 2nd Mon & Tues drops. then after the 3rd weekend actuals come in will know Mar 13, 13:18
One thing it has going for it on that front is no real full-family competition until Jungle Book in mid-April Mar 13, 13:25
