BO: Fandango: FBSTS outpacing DRSTR at the same point in the Fandango sales cycle. Nov 16, 10:30
$85M+ is pretty good for a prequel with all new characters, not a sequel based on a book. {nm} Nov 16, 10:41
except Potters tend to be way more frontloaded than the average tentpole franchise {nm} Nov 16, 10:50
$85M is the floor. The opening could be over $100M. {nm} Nov 16, 10:52
+1 I knew Antibody and I would eventually agree on something - $85M is the floor, no doubt:)... Nov 16, 12:22
Yes, it's an opinion based on the presales, just like WB's lowball of $70M is their opinion. {nm} Nov 16, 14:48
I posted thoughts earlier this week - on top of just the hard presale data... {nm} Nov 16, 18:55
Having seen the predictions lately ($15M and $41M for Arrival just last week), I'd put more faith in our board members... Nov 16, 19:00
If you read the previously posted preview articles, there are people who predict $90M+. {nm} Nov 16, 20:04
Fantastic Beasts will adjust, last I checked {nm} Nov 16, 11:08
The holiday didn't keep the Potter, Twilight and Hunger Games sequels from being frontloaded. {nm} Nov 16, 11:20
Never underestimate the power of Harry Potter {nm} Nov 16, 14:08
it helps that each trailer has gotten better and better. they do a good job of bringing you back with the Potter music. {nm} Nov 16, 13:29
Moonlight maybe not wide this weekend, but definitely 400+ theaters Nov 16, 11:10
So this is tricky, we need to play it based on delist but we don't know when it will delist {nm} Nov 16, 11:34
so it could delist as early as dec 19th (if it went wide thanhsgving wknd) or as late as jan 30 if it doesnt go wide until its 12 wknd Nov 16, 11:41
That's the case for these "awards" films in years past. {nm} Nov 16, 11:48
thursday am: now up to 596 and climbing theaters, need to keep an eye on for wide (650+) {nm} Nov 17, 06:32