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I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends {nm}

Posted by: RogerMore on Apr 04, 06:59 in response to notfabio's post LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as...

LATIMES: HP Labs in Palo Alto claims it has reached as high as 97.3% accuracy in box office projections off of Twitter notfabio Apr 04, 00:17

yeah but is Twitter studio-plant--proof? {nm} tealfan Apr 04, 00:25

It's 97% proof. I hope you understand that that is warts and all.... {nm} Facto Apr 04, 06:43

My method of divining rods and tea leaves is 98.2% accurate...as long as I don't have to show data either (nm) AB_Excello Apr 04, 00:51

They have done a good job of ripping off my work and claiming it all for themselves. I'll give that to them... {nm} horlicks Apr 04, 03:09

Seriously? I know that you were using a system with Twitter, but I just don't see how this works... secretstalker Apr 04, 06:42

SS, lordy lord, of course you are aware that you can estimate tweet-rate for topics that aren't trending in the world wide top 10? Facto Apr 04, 06:47

but some movies won't show up on Twitter at all, just like with tracking. secretstalker Apr 04, 06:56

I've actually yet to see a movie that isn't tweeted about... Facto Apr 04, 07:06

I just looked for Date Night... and most of the tweets seemed to be about places where you could download the movie... secretstalker Apr 04, 07:23

Yup. Some titles will be afflicted with such contamination. For Date Night it will be a little tricky. Must use quotation marks, and make an Facto Apr 04, 09:18

After reading the HP research article, it wasn't clear to me that they predicted anything soopersaiyan319 Apr 04, 05:38

Exactly, let's see their predictions going forth, not within their limited sample. HSX predicts box office months out from release, not afte {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 10:59

not after theater counts are known one day before release date. {nm} Antibody Apr 04, 11:06

Interesting, I was at 98% on Dragon and Clash (based on estimates) without using Twitter. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:40

Nevermind on Clash... just saw the numbers below.. still, I was much closer than RS/MTC who predicted $77 to over $80 million. Ridiculous. {nm} secretstalker Apr 04, 06:43

I like how they are less good at predicting second weekends than opening weekends RogerMore Apr 04, 06:59

i like how this is total bull**** lol. {nm} HS-X Apr 04, 09:47

its says "as much as 97.3% accuracy". thats not the average, thats the max. Whats the mean? {nm} Moviesnob Apr 04, 11:02





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Rule Breakers (RULBR) 10000 5.49 (-0.06)          Jon Stewart (JSTEW) 25000 19.43 (+0.30)          Nosferatu (NOSFR) 9140 30.29 (+0.11)          Jim Parsons (JPARS) 25000 64.28 (+0.25)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 10000 12.97 (-1.06)          Jessie Usher (JUSHE) 25000 52.55 (+0.33)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Old Guy (OLGUY) 10000 2.02 (+0.01)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 50000 23.39 (-0.59)          Parthenope (PRTNP) 150000 2.49 (0.00)          The Shrouds (SHRUD) 10000 1.69 (+0.01)          September 5 (SEPT5) 50000 14.70 (+0.16)          A Complete Unknown (GOELC) 10000 26.29 (+0.16)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 6.66 (+0.21)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 2000 16.87 (-0.26)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 6000 21.11 (-0.06)          Red One (REDON) 1000 87.55 (+1.42)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 2.26 (+0.17)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 10000 21.11 (-0.06)          Striking Rescue (STRSC) 150000 1.15 (0.00)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 5000 93.54 (-0.59)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 5000 300.14 (+0.02)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 10000 5.49 (-0.06)          Gary Oldman (GOLDM) 25000 66.35 (+0.25)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 12557 170.50 (-0.33)          Freida Pinto (FPINT) 25000 25.62 (-0.12)          Heretic (HERTC) 90000 27.59 (+2.20)          Heretic (HERTC) 64000 27.59 (+2.20)          The Brutalist (BRUTL) 50000 4.76 (+0.02)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 7805 281.27 (-0.27)          Love Hurts aka With Love (WOLOV) 2000 32.01 (-0.13)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 3000 302.40 (+2.22)          Snow White (SNWHT) 1930 213.35 (+0.33)          Wicked (WICKD) 5000 306.03 (+4.55)          Wicked (WICKD) 5000 306.03 (+4.55)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 5000 89.08 (0.00)          Ethan Hawke (EHAWK) 25000 28.78 (+0.12)          Elodie Yung (EYUNG) 25000 62.78 (0.00)          The Senior (SENIR) 40000 3.56 (-0.22)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 30000 23.66 (-0.99)          Elio (ELIO) 150000 135.33 (+0.91)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 10800 12.75 (-0.46)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 3000 12.75 (-0.46)          Luca Guadagnino (LGUAD) 25000 12.92 (-0.30)          Luca Guadagnino (LGUAD) 25000 12.92 (-0.30)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 117171 83.80 (+0.11)          Domhnall Gleeson (DGLEE) 25000 96.83 (0.00)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 1000 21.37 (+1.99)          Y2K (Y2K) 10000 16.59 (+0.44)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 1200 21.37 (+1.99)