HSX Forum

Movies

I don't see your logic here. Please explain why RS (50) and MTC (60) makes 70+ likely. Thanks. {nm}

Posted by: Port Value League Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on Dec 20, 12:26 in response to Rolling_Thunder's post That makes a $70m+ 5-day for Fockers likely, and I really...

MTC: Fockers 63 (5 day), True Grit 28 (5 day), Gulliver's 12 (2 day) {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 11:22

That makes a $70m+ 5-day for Fockers likely, and I really hope True Grit opens that well. Westerns always make me a bit apprehensive. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 20, 11:31

I don't see your logic here. Please explain why RS (50) and MTC (60) makes 70+ likely. Thanks. Port Value League Admin Dec 20, 12:26

Historical probability based on similar films. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 20, 13:26

That's a little vague and does not support your thesis. Is there any fact or information that you can provide that can support your point? {nm} Port Value League Admin Dec 20, 14:57

Yes. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 20, 15:00

:) {nm} Port Value League Admin Dec 20, 15:56

I love westerns but sadly hated True Grit. Looked beautiful, but the acting had zero emotion in the delivery of lines. skamanfu Dec 20, 13:11

Well, John Wayne was hardly the emotional kind either. {nm} HarryWarden Dec 20, 16:14

Look like [MPRN3] will open close to what the previous one did; it will be more frontloaded, but should still cross $200m with ease {nm} xiayun Dec 20, 11:33

Even after NARN3 (both RS/MTC over) and TRON2 (both RS/MTC under), you're sticking by your "system"? secretstalker Dec 20, 11:46

word is that the 3rd is better than the 2nd... plus the jack-nicholson-one was soooo bad , that auds are eager for an oldfashioned DeNiro {nm} JMT Dec 20, 11:51

The "rule" worked on Tron, as MTC was significantly higher than RS; RS and MTC were identical on Narnia 3, so no rule applied there {nm} xiayun Dec 20, 11:56

MTC was 34, RS was 31... neither points to an opening over $40 million. {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:01

RS was at "high-20s" from what you reported on 12th, so MTC was about 20% higher, so adding another 20% to MTC xiayun Dec 20, 12:04

Oh, you're right... TRON2 was 29 from RS... I was looking at YOGIB (which didn't come CLOSE to besting TRON2) {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:07

and the "rule" worked quite well on Yogi Bear; it is really only relevant when the difference between the two trackings are significant xiayun Dec 20, 12:02

We'll see. {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:05

I've been tracking "the rule" for almost a year now and it's picked the direction of the adjust correctly 80 from about 120 wide releases RogerMore Dec 20, 12:09

look at RS / MTC rules these weeks adn21 Dec 20, 12:08

Yeah, and NARN3... when they both give the same number that means they're both wrong? secretstalker Dec 20, 12:11

not looking really good for MPRN3 notagain Dec 23, 16:27

not looking good for [MPRN3] notagain Dec 23, 16:36

no way the western will make 28 mill in 5 days ( in 50 maybe ). numbers inside JMT Dec 20, 12:11

No Country for Old Men made over 70 million, Burn After REading was one of their biggest openings ever. secretstalker Dec 20, 12:12

We'll see :) {nm} JMT Dec 20, 12:16

also, did you see the trailer ? That was boring, dark ( as in ' many darkly lit night scenes' ) and plain awfull. {nm} JMT Dec 20, 12:21

I've seen the movie and I wasn't a fan but clearly, I'm in the minority. {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:23

SS... you're not alone. My thoughts are up above. {nm} skamanfu Dec 20, 13:12

the trailer with the johnny cash song "gods gonna cut you down"? that was one excellent trailer {nm} islander Dec 20, 12:26

you mean the one that's attached to the stockpage ? There's little Cash in that one. That's the one I saw and didn't like {nm} JMT Dec 20, 13:04

I'm looking forward to it, but I'm not sure people will rush out to see it this weekend. {nm} lesana Dec 20, 13:06





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.93 (+2.92)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 60 4.00 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 1 11.76 (-0.06)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 1 11.76 (-0.06)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 80 13.45 (+3.45)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 80 5.88 (+0.18)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 80 5.59 (+0.18)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.45 (+3.45)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 60 14.93 (+2.92)          Wicked (WICKD) 1 298.73 (+3.05)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 100 20.19 (+0.15)          Leigh Whannell (LWHAN) 200 51.02 (+0.33)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 5000 119.73 (+1.55)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 25000 14.93 (+2.92)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.45 (+3.45)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 2.13 (-0.21)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.45 (+3.45)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 150000 24.12 (-0.20)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 25000 279.85 (-4.63)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 5 13.45 (+3.45)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 3 172.26 (+1.44)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 3 172.26 (+1.44)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 3 9.15 (+0.33)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 3 9.15 (+0.33)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 1 38.28 (+0.31)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 1 38.28 (+0.31)          Untitled Monsterverse Godzilla x (GOKO3) 10000 115.88 (-0.02)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 279.85 (-4.63)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 3 14.93 (+2.92)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 279.85 (-4.63)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 3 14.93 (+2.92)          The Senior (SENIR) 3 2.91 (+2.76)          The Senior (SENIR) 3 2.91 (+2.76)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 5000 172.26 (+1.44)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 3 22.33 (-0.26)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 3 22.33 (-0.26)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 1 15.77 (-0.22)          The Drama (TDRAM) 2 19.15 (-0.25)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 19999 28.65 (+0.02)          The Drama (TDRAM) 2 19.15 (-0.25)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 1 26.34 (-0.39)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 3 19.50 (-0.87)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 3 19.50 (-0.87)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 3 34.28 (-0.36)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 3 34.28 (-0.36)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 0.89 (-0.14)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 1 116.81 (-0.38)