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Hold that question until next week, I'm all out of money. :) {nm}

Posted by: PVL Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on Apr 13, 11:19 in response to lobogotti's post but the real question is do you still think Fast5 is...

I scream, you scream, everybody's posting bout 4scream. Any thoughts on Rio ? ( mine inside ) JMT-NL Apr 13, 09:08

As detailed in xiayun's post below, its BOM poll and Twitter activity is pointing to $40-45m. Anything above that would be a surprise. Rolling_Thunder Apr 13, 09:49

being new here i think 6pm on sat is crazy late. winstonman78 Apr 13, 10:17

even an early saturday cutoff would make more sense than a cutoff when 3/4ths of the weekend is over. {nm} winstonman78 Apr 13, 10:18

as much as I respect Xiayuns predictions, they are only predictions. Both Scream and Rio will do better. And next year... JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:20

but the real question is do you still think Fast5 is opening less thna 50? :) {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 10:29

Haha... Yes 40-45 {nm} JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:50

Hold that question until next week, I'm all out of money. :) PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:19

xiayun runs hot and cold. He was trippin' on ADJBU. But he showed a real acumen with his LMTLS prediction. {nm} lhayes37 Apr 13, 10:34

...with an accuracy rate ONLY beat by MTC, and followed very closely by BO.com. Those have been the top 3 for a while now. {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:09

Credit where credit is due, is all I'm saying. His accuracy clearly demonstrate the insightfulness of the considerations in his analyses. {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:14

If comparing accuracy, you need to consider timing. CS puts out his numbers on Tues whereas Xiayun is often on Friday. Respect both but GMov Apr 13, 18:38

First rule of box office predictions - no one really knows anything. Second rule is some people still know more than others. {nm} RogerMore Apr 13, 10:48

With all of this advance discussion of openers, I see no reason why halt shouldn't go back to 1PM on Friday. {nm} secretstalker Apr 13, 09:55

agreed. I wonder how much difference they are seeing with the changes having been in effect a few months now? {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 09:58

agreed. {nm} JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:07

And O.W. halts should be 1 PM thursday ! Also, D-mac, if saturdaytrading is the worry, there are other solutions... JMT-NL Apr 13, 11:12

The reason the halt was pushed back was to capture the additional trading from Fri to Sat. {nm} Antibody Apr 13, 10:24

how is that going? you guys seeing better results? any stats? {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 10:28

Is there really that much trading of openers once numbers come out? secretstalker Apr 13, 10:31

I've been known to trade when Nikki's first numbers come out, then flip when the HSX price has caught up to Nikki's prediction... RogerMore Apr 13, 10:45

It has regularly caught up and surpassed the projection for the weekend... secretstalker Apr 13, 13:11

Changing the halt has changed the emphasis of the game - it's now more about trading and less about predicting box office. cp6ap Apr 13, 10:41

I would welcome a return to the old rules. Man's game ****es. {nm} lhayes37 Apr 13, 10:44

agreed. {nm} GMov Apr 13, 18:40





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Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 33.81 (+0.63)          Wicked (WICKD) 6822 319.19 (+1.79)          Tom Hanks (THANK) 25000 55.03 (+0.16)          Robin Wright (RWPEN) 25000 78.92 (-0.45)          Robin Wright (RWPEN) 20000 78.92 (-0.45)          Ron Perlman (RPERL) 25000 36.54 (+0.12)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 150000 3.84 (-0.16)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 10000 221.36 (+0.33)          Paul Bettany (PBETT) 25000 143.88 (-0.33)          Liam Neeson (LNEES) 25000 3.94 (+0.10)          Jason Sudeikis (JSUDE) 25000 18.18 (-0.10)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 25000 127.94 (+0.60)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 20000 127.94 (+0.60)          Rebuilding (RBULD) 150000 1.96 (+0.14)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 5 38.42 (-0.16)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 100 208.99 (0.00)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 15 221.36 (+0.33)          Elio (ELIO) 350 137.92 (0.00)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 40 29.11 (+0.95)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 4.66 (+0.11)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 3 212.39 (-0.68)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 150000 300.41 (+1.43)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 3 212.39 (-0.68)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 319.19 (+1.79)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 150000 3.84 (-0.16)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4.PU) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4.OW) 100000 24.95 (-0.05)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4.CA) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          Kraven the Hunter H$30 Put (KRAVN.PU) 25000 2.10 (+0.10)          Kraven the Hunter - Opening Week (KRAVN.OW) 100000 29.95 (-0.05)          Kraven the Hunter H$30 Call (KRAVN.CA) 25000 2.10 (+0.10)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 150000 3.84 (-0.16)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.98 (+0.01)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 204 29.11 (+0.95)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 100 300.41 (+1.43)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 29.96 (+0.23)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 33.81 (+0.63)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 888 84.57 (+0.33)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 150000 3.84 (-0.16)          Jimpa (JIMPA) 50000 2.45 (0.00)          Rebuilding (RBULD) 150000 1.96 (+0.14)          Rebuilding (RBULD) 150000 1.96 (+0.14)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 33.81 (+0.63)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 50000 33.81 (+0.63)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.46 (-0.03)