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Movies

I don't have time to collect the data right now but maybe when I have more time. {nm}

Posted by: TheWeekendWarrior on Jan 10, 15:28 in response to Oleg Max's post i guess you would need to support your claim by providing...

Another sign pointing to wide release, new [IRNLD] posterwith Friday's date. Antibody Jan 10, 13:34

What's the mult for a limited release expanding wide? 2.5? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:36

... I mean, over a four-day weekend, of course. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:37

Multipliers are based on historical average. Without any data, we default to 2.2*Box Office Friday-Monday {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:41

+ Previous B.O> {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:42

Yay! I was right! :D {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:42

what about ltd -> to exp 3.0 deal? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:42

Hmm, I suppose we could use 3.0 without the box office for Monday. That may come closer to the delist pirce. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:48

Delist price is determined by how well a film is received by the movie-going public, not by the adjust. Jus' sayin'. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:51

maybe the adjust mult needs to be determined by a combination of CinemaScore and RottenTomato scores then:) {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:57

So then DVNSD's adjust should've been -175? :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:58

The multipliers came from the actual delist price divided opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:05

The point of the Adjust to bring the price closer to the delist price by using a multiplier that's the average of all films. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:06

I'm finding that movies generally have better legs now than they did ten years ago so would HSX consider upping the mult accordingly? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 14:17

i guess you would need to support your claim by providing hard data.... whole reason why mult dropped from 2.9 to 2.8 to 2.7 is because Oleg Max Jan 10, 14:27

The histrorical data through 2010 has shown a downward trend towards 2.6. Haven't looked at 2011. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:33

with horror films typically 2.0 delist, and animated fam films 3.5, time to go to seperate mults? i mean if we're changing everything :) {nm} islander Jan 10, 14:35

re:islander, or no adjust at all. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:39

Re: DMac, if there's no adjust, that will lessen the traffic to your site, and also lessen the amount of players in this fine game. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 14:44

I think 2011 will show it evening out.. although I guess movies like Twilight are going to screw things up. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 14:37

I don't have time to collect the data right now but maybe when I have more time. TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 15:28

as long as you'll receive a 3 day est from ERC, that should work, right? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:51

i dont understand why this comes up *every* time theres an odd weekend. glossary and calender are your friend and mistress :) {nm} islander Jan 10, 13:49

nevermind :/ {nm} islander Jan 10, 13:53

what are we getting for a multiplier, pls? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:38

I'm fairly certain it will be Previous BO + 2.2 * Fri-Mon. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:39





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Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 40.99 (+0.99)          The Choral (CHORL) 150000 5.48 (+0.93)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 25000 40.99 (+0.99)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 149999 238.47 (+0.83)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 8000 142.89 (+0.10)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 141999 142.89 (+0.10)          Challengers (CHALN) 80000 45.35 (+0.39)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 3000 52.37 (-0.58)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 3200 52.37 (-0.58)          Eternity (ETERN) 4000 17.57 (-0.48)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 1000 68.58 (+0.15)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 5000 37.76 (+0.13)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 6000 86.12 (+0.43)          Borderline (BRLIN) 8000 12.70 (+0.52)          Borderline (BRLIN) 1600 12.70 (+0.52)          The Choral (CHORL) 9200 5.48 (+0.93)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 5000 18.28 (+0.68)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 30000 20.97 (-0.46)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 1600 20.97 (-0.46)          The Choral (CHORL) 150000 5.48 (+0.93)          The Choral (CHORL) 10000 5.48 (+0.93)          The Choral (CHORL) 4000 5.48 (+0.93)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 400 142.89 (+0.10)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 2000 40.99 (+0.99)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 9200 40.99 (+0.99)          The Pack (TPACK) 10000 15.38 (-0.02)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 20000 152.45 (+0.15)          Huntington (HNGTN) 10000 14.63 (+0.06)          The Invite (TINVT) 4999 16.58 (+0.02)          Sound Of Hope: The Story Of Poss (PSMTR) 10000 19.23 (+0.02)          Creed IV (CREE4) 4999 59.49 (+0.05)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 49999 3.94 (-0.02)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 55000 86.12 (+0.43)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 1 13.44 (+0.48)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.44 (+0.48)          The Choral (CHORL) 1 5.48 (+0.93)          The Choral (CHORL) 1 5.48 (+0.93)          The Choral (CHORL) 150000 5.48 (+0.93)          Reagan (REAGN) 1 3.84 (+0.05)          Reagan (REAGN) 150000 3.84 (+0.05)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 1 17.99 (+0.07)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 95000 17.99 (+0.07)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 100000 142.89 (+0.10)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 40.99 (+0.99)          The Choral (CHORL) 150000 5.48 (+0.93)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 40.99 (+0.99)