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Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm}

Posted by: Chimpmuck (a.k.a psisson) on Jul 19, 17:29 in response to arf's post None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 9605 55.63 (-0.06)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 150000 32.46 (-1.50)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 150000 32.46 (-1.50)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 75000 16.00 (0.00)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.73 (+0.57)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 150000 3.38 (-0.93)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Call (BADB4.CA) 25000 1.29 (-0.71)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 9999 29.38 (+0.01)          The Assessment (ASSMT) 10000 4.96 (-0.05)          The Assessment (ASSMT) 10000 4.96 (-0.05)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 12.82 (+1.17)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 12.82 (+1.17)          Brothers (BROHS) 150000 2.27 (+0.07)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.57 (+0.57)          The Assessment (ASSMT) 40000 4.96 (-0.05)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.57 (+0.57)          Breathe (BRETE) 150000 2.13 (+0.04)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 50000 5.57 (+2.14)          Breathe (BRETE) 150000 2.13 (+0.04)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 1 29.38 (+0.01)          The Watchers H$15 Put (WATCS.PU) 25000 2.49 (+0.49)          The Watchers - Opening Weekend (WATCS.OW) 100000 15.63 (+0.63)          The Watchers H$15 Call (WATCS.CA) 25000 2.33 (+0.33)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Put (BADB4.PU) 25000 2.75 (+0.75)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 7.58 (-0.42)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Dua Lipa (DLIPA) 8400 96.54 (-0.17)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Put (BADB4.PU) 25000 2.75 (+0.75)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Call (BADB4.CA) 25000 1.29 (-0.71)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die - Opening (BADB4.OW) 100000 58.98 (-1.02)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 150000 135.93 (-1.18)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 1 5.57 (+2.14)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 1 5.57 (+2.14)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          The Watchers H$15 Put (WATCS.PU) 25000 2.49 (+0.49)          The Watchers H$15 Call (WATCS.CA) 25000 2.33 (+0.33)          The Watchers - Opening Weekend (WATCS.OW) 100000 15.63 (+0.63)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Put (BADB4.PU) 25000 2.75 (+0.75)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Call (BADB4.CA) 25000 1.29 (-0.71)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die - Opening (BADB4.OW) 100000 58.98 (-1.02)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 7.58 (-0.42)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 15000 16.00 (0.00)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 150000 84.64 (-0.02)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 150000 84.64 (-0.02)          Drop (DROP) 3 24.52 (+0.12)          Drop (DROP) 3 24.52 (+0.12)