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where do you post your numbers? {nm}

Posted by: RazorHawk on Jul 20, 09:13 in response to doitdoitdoitnow's post May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 5 320.81 (+0.25)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 102000 136.20 (-0.11)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 25000 14.30 (-0.79)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 5000 144.69 (+0.01)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 149900 90.68 (-0.24)          Thread: An Insidious Tale (THRED) 75000 25.70 (+0.05)          Christmas Eve in Miller's Point (CEIMP) 4410 1.96 (-0.04)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 10000 136.20 (-0.11)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 12500 137.89 (-0.16)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 12500 137.89 (-0.16)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 35000 136.20 (-0.11)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 150000 2.91 (-0.02)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 5000 136.20 (-0.11)          The Convert (CNVRT) 150000 1.93 (-0.07)          IF (IMGNF) 3860 124.83 (-1.01)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 50000 10.31 (+0.08)          Above The Below (ABELW) 30000 10.73 (-0.03)          IF (IMGNF) 3860 124.83 (-1.01)          IF (IMGNF) 4432 124.83 (-1.01)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 16339 29.80 (+0.01)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 2878 13.33 (+0.66)          Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve (STCRS) 25000 3.54 (0.00)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 14.30 (-0.79)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 149999 14.30 (-0.79)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 150000 5.12 (-0.22)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 150000 5.12 (-0.22)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 3666 13.33 (+0.66)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 13.77 (-0.17)          Here (HERE1) 12000 60.51 (+0.17)          Untitled Formula One aka Apex (FORM1) 25000 52.32 (+0.02)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 50000 23.96 (+0.01)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 19000 69.94 (-0.01)          Send Help (SENDH) 19000 27.59 (+0.03)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 10000 7.65 (+0.22)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 30000 13.33 (+0.66)          Elevation (ELVTN) 150000 10.30 (-0.42)          Elevation (ELVTN) 150000 10.30 (-0.42)          My Old Ass (MOLAS) 45000 6.21 (-0.03)          My Old Ass (MOLAS) 99 6.21 (-0.03)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 1 58.81 (-0.01)          The Fire Inside aka Flint Strong (FLNTS) 150000 5.04 (-0.34)          The Conjuring: Last Rites (CNJU4) 30000 38.03 (-0.08)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.72 (-0.48)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.72 (-0.48)          Elevation (ELVTN) 19500 10.30 (-0.42)          Elevation (ELVTN) 26000 10.30 (-0.42)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 14.30 (-0.79)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 14.30 (-0.79)          IF (IMGNF) 50000 124.83 (-1.01)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 37500 50.69 (-0.08)