Movies

Box Office is going with $38m for Elvis and $20.3 for Black Phone TheWeekendWarrior Jun 22, 16:22

Elvis should have good legs (Rocketman 25.7M OW - 96.3M domestic, Bohemian 51M OW- 216M domestic) {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 16:26

Rocketman and Bohemian both at 3x OW for there 4 weeks totals. 40 for Elvis would lead to 120 if that pattern holds. {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 16:27

It hasn't opened at 40 yet. A 30 opening would lead to 90. {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 16:31

It also has not opened at 30. Might as well put 5 or 500 if you want to throw numbers out there. The latest prediction is 38 so thats 114. {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 16:35

Exactly. Why speculate on top of prediction. LITYR opened at 50 when everyone had 70-100. {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 16:36

Why speculate? Because HSX is all about that and why people play. Musical biopics have shown to have good legs. {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 16:44

Unfortunately, they haven't all had good openings... for every Bohemian Rhapsody there's a Get On Up... TheWeekendWarrior Jun 22, 18:12

agreed...or A Star is Born {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 18:22

? A Star is Born pulled about 50 on a holiday weekend, delisted just under 150, and ended at 215. Massive legs {nm} OdysseusG Jun 22, 19:33

I meant it could go either way on the good or bad but for the most part the genre has good legs {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 19:52

Elvis had EA shows already (Tuesday) and they "might" be included in the Previews (for LY they did not include it) and its 500-600K Peter453 Jun 22, 19:57

LITYR box office included Wed previews {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 20:32

the preview number did not {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 20:48

the preview number did not include the EA shows of around 750K which is my point {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 20:49

BO: LIGHTYEAR $5.2M Domestic Previews (Includes Wednesday & Thursday) Antibody Jun 22, 22:03

Yeah I asked Jatinder and Empire City and they said it does not include EA. EC has TG2 5.35M, JWD 5.15M, LY 4.05M today (Wed) {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 22:06

Why are you assuming BO's 38 is correct when they were wrong with LITYR's $84M. {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 18:49

I did not say 38M I just said the last 2 musical bipoics had a 3x delist multiplier on its OW Peter453 Jun 22, 19:00

My issue is this assumption of what ELVIS should be trading at "The latest prediction is 38 so thats 114." {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 19:15

Because that's a 3x multiplier which Rocketman and Bohemian did on there OW to 4 week delist price as a comparison Peter453 Jun 22, 19:26

38 is not the "latest prediction". It's one person's guess/opinion. It's not better than someone else's 30 or 35. {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 20:26

The number was provided by Shawn Robbins who runs BoxOfficePro. Peter453 Jun 22, 20:54

I don't have a problem with anyone's prediction. I have a problem with you assuming his or anyone's prediction is correct and what price Antibody Jun 22, 21:55

there's always one, right? {nm} Moviesnob Jun 22, 22:04

... or two :) {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jun 23, 07:13

OTOH, BLUHR's Gatsby was only 2.5X {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 16:29

The Great Gatsby 48% critics versus Elvis at 83% (95 reviews) {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 16:37

any normal summer (even granting it's still a Baz thing) it would be effective counterprogramming for the non-tentpole crowd raccacoonie Jun 22, 16:45

which, watching Billy Eichner on Kimmel, it's insane that they're holding Bros until October basically. would have killed as a summer comedy {nm} raccacoonie Jun 22, 17:15

Probaby want a TIFF launch to stage for Awards. Its a similar date to Couples Retreat and other sucessful comedies {nm} notfabio Jun 22, 17:47

Meet The Parents too {nm} notfabio Jun 22, 17:48

coulda been a Bridesmaids tho {nm} raccacoonie Jun 22, 17:59

3000 Miles to Graceland is the last time I thought about Elvis sneak Jun 22, 19:33

You missed seeing Elvis in the Walmart Parking Lot last weekend? Captain Obvious Jun 22, 21:35