HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

It is a way to make 2 bets at the same time.....

Posted by: mrbinns on Jul 12, 14:06 in response to steveg1's post Shorting Puts vs. Buying Calls

MOVIE has a strike of 20.   You think that it will do more than 22 (20 plus the 2 to purchase) so you buy the call.   Using a little logic, if you think it will do more than 22, then it definitely will not do less than 18 (20-2) so you short the put and you hope your initial gut instinct is correct.

You may want to keep an eye on the underlying price of the stock.  20 weekend usually means a price of 54, so you may keep that number in mnd. 

On the other side of the coin, you may say, "No way it does 18 this weekend. This turkey will be lucky to nake that much" and the price is way under the 54, so you long the PUT.   By following logic, if it is going to do less than 18 to justify the purchase of the Put, then that means it would not make the 22 that the call implies, so you short the Call.

There are those who criticize me for this logic, but after almost 11 years of gut feelings, I can say that a combination of Long Put, Short Call   or Long Call and Short Put make sense.

Occasionally, a double short would have been the play (if the weekend is between 18 and 22 in ths example) but double short is rare.  I do not believe in the double long play as you are guaranteeing that one of them is always wrong, returning zero.

 





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Ads disabled on hsx.com


Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 9.62 (-0.07)          Embers (EMBER) 150000 3.21 (-0.19)          Embers (EMBER) 150000 3.21 (-0.19)          Embers (EMBER) 150000 3.21 (-0.19)          Embers (EMBER) 150000 3.21 (-0.19)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 14.12 (-0.29)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 14.12 (-0.29)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 4.98 (-0.02)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 5.31 (-0.29)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 5.31 (-0.29)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 5.31 (-0.29)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 5.31 (-0.29)          Voltron (VOLTN) 50000 22.12 (+0.04)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.80 (+0.49)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.80 (+0.49)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 4.98 (-0.02)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 14.12 (-0.29)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 14.12 (-0.29)          King Snake (KSNAK) 150000 14.71 (+0.43)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.80 (+0.49)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.42 (-0.08)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.42 (-0.08)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 46.04 (+0.04)          Fonda (FONDA) 100000 8.42 (-0.08)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 5.31 (-0.29)          Fonda (FONDA) 50000 8.42 (-0.08)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.42 (-0.08)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.17 (-0.12)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.42 (-0.08)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.42 (-0.08)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 6.31 (-0.11)          Embers (EMBER) 150000 3.21 (-0.19)          Octet (OCTET) 1 21.17 (-0.12)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 0.57 (-0.02)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 4.98 (-0.02)          King Snake (KSNAK) 150000 14.71 (+0.43)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.17 (-0.12)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.38 (+0.26)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 130917 53.71 (+0.05)          Voltron (VOLTN) 50000 22.12 (+0.04)          The Angry Birds Movie 3 (ANGR3) 150000 37.69 (+0.15)          Voltron (VOLTN) 50000 22.12 (+0.04)          Voltron (VOLTN) 50000 22.12 (+0.04)          Voltron (VOLTN) 50000 22.12 (+0.04)          The Angry Birds Movie 3 (ANGR3) 13760 37.69 (+0.15)          Voltron (VOLTN) 150000 22.12 (+0.04)          Voltron (VOLTN) 50000 22.12 (+0.04)          Voltron (VOLTN) 50000 22.12 (+0.04)          King Snake (KSNAK) 150000 14.71 (+0.43)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 12.06 (+0.07)