HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

'QIX' (Quarterly Expiration Index) Report.

Posted by: Lionsgate Studio Fund (a.k.a LGFXFund) on Jun 01, 06:00

 

- [LGFX] 2015 achieved 30% monthly returns in Mar & Apr + 15% during May

 

- As at 23:59 PST on May 31 ('witching hour'), the 'GAV' (Gross Asset Value) -- or the sum value of all 83 securities LGFX 2015 could theoretically own max long (CYMBE delists today & total assumes SFTWY will be released by LGF) -- was H$115,236,200

 

- The Fund's Net Worth (H$85,422,974.88) at witching hour, was equivalent to 74.13% of GAV

 

- LGFX 2015 accomplished the $75 target price on May 4 & is now aiming for 85% of GAV prior to delist in early Sep

 

- Current holdings include 19 new properties (18 MovieStocks & 1 Derivative) acquired since the last Fund Report on Mar 22, as follows;

STNWL (Mar 25), NERVE (Mar 27), DRBLD (Apr 1), DVRG2.BW (Apr 2), BYDCT (Apr 9), DOGOD (Apr 9), PATSD (Apr 20), AZWAR (Apr 23), SHEEP (Apr 24), HMNID (May 2), GENUS (May 13), SETRE (May 13), SFTWY (May 13), AMHST (May 14), BWOHL (May 15), HGFTK (May 15), CMNCH (May 21), LADR2 (May 21), UGCMH (May 21)

 

- LGFX's 82 eligible MovieStocks are weighted across five HSX phases;

Concept (3), Development (25), Production (7), Wrap (39), Release (8)

 

- H$77,604,748.60 of cash resources have been allocated to individual MovieStock & Derivative share values (security price ranges valid at witching hour);

H$0.01-1.00 (27), H$1.01-5.00 (21), H$5.01-25.00 (24), H$25.01-50.00 (6), H$50.01-350.00 (4)

 

- No wide releases are scheduled for Jun or Jul, although LVMRC will debut on 450 screens this week

 

- CRIMN has been removed from the Aug slate & SHEEP (Aug 7) + AULTR (Aug 21) added

 

- The Fund's inaugural Trading Tip was posted via Twitter on May 8 (when the relevant MovieStock was trading at H$0.44), as follows;

https://twitter.com/QixFund/status/596876256659910656

 

- Despite initial resistance, shorting the 'Divergent' franchise resulted in a H$6.62m+ cash return (8 out of 10 investments were profitable)

 

- The following MovieStocks (all held max long) were valued H$100k+ below purchase prices at witching hour;

SHACK (-H$499k), HIGHL (-H$306k), BYDCT (-H169k), GOEGP (-H$153k), PATSD (-H$130k), DVRG4 (-H$103k), HGFTK (-H$101k)

 

- I'm optimistic about the box office earnings potential of recent moves by LGF into awards contenders (e.g. SICAR) & animation (e.g. SHEEP).

 

15-May-2007 (aka Qix)


Tag(s): LGFX





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Star Trek (TREK4) 2767 33.65 (0.00)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 89.59 (+1.25)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 89.59 (+1.25)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 75 159.08 (-0.11)          Merlin (MERLN) 100000 0.07 (-0.02)          Big Trouble in Little China (BTILC) 65000 1.16 (0.00)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 90000 9.85 (+0.01)          Fast Forever aka Fast X Part 2 (FAF11) 100 112.23 (-0.44)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 15.15 (-0.42)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 15.15 (-0.42)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 150000 31.71 (-0.30)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 150000 31.71 (-0.30)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 15.15 (-0.42)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 100 235.66 (+0.33)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 15.15 (-0.42)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.85 (-0.41)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 25000 13.79 (-1.21)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 25000 13.79 (-1.21)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 18.11 (+1.60)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 38547 28.56 (-0.86)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 20000 10.83 (+1.26)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 89105 52.07 (-1.60)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 20000 19.44 (+1.13)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 3.44 (-0.56)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 6.05 (-0.05)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 6.05 (-0.05)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 3.44 (-0.56)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 1 13.79 (-1.21)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 30000 13.79 (-1.21)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 10000 3.70 (-0.11)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 100 231.49 (-0.16)          Audition (AUDTN) 131914 4.70 (-0.27)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 100 34.05 (+0.10)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 111453 28.56 (-0.86)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 150000 28.56 (-0.86)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 60895 52.07 (-1.60)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 150000 52.07 (-1.60)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 100 227.76 (-0.16)          Primate (PRIMT) 150000 20.79 (+0.07)          Primate (PRIMT) 150000 20.79 (+0.07)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 9.16 (-0.12)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 9.16 (-0.12)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 18374 125.00 (-0.26)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 2138 5.56 (+0.56)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 18751 125.00 (-0.26)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 100 124.56 (-0.11)          Normal (NORML) 150000 20.65 (-0.10)          Normal (NORML) 150000 20.65 (-0.10)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 18751 125.00 (-0.26)