HSX Forum

Movies

HOBT3 will probably be a different matter than the first 2 parts, given the summer opening {nm}

Posted by: BSmurf on Nov 07, 08:21 in response to Paul2k's post Yes. It will be like matter and anti-matter. The two...

okay....so because Hobbit is being released near xmas it is alleged that it cannot open too 80 million? Gavin Nov 07, 05:26

I remember losing a lot of money on ROTK opening weekend. {nm} AgentEvil Nov 07, 06:05

tried to look it up, could not find it.... {nm} Gavin Nov 07, 06:12

here you go tealfan Nov 07, 12:46

Rules can be broken... but december releases dont open that big, but have great to spectacular legs. There is no hurry to see it OW because gogreenytd Nov 07, 06:17

I'm torn about where the OW of this movie could land- on the one hand, the compelling arguement of no film ever opening at 80 in Dec and Paul2k Nov 07, 06:55

It's also 3D, so there's extra money; But it's also ~3 hours long, so fewer daily showings. Will those cancel each other out? {nm} BSmurf Nov 07, 06:58

Yes. It will be like matter and anti-matter. The two together will cause the universe to explode. Or implode. Or something. :) {nm} Paul2k Nov 07, 07:03

HOBT3 will probably be a different matter than the first 2 parts, given the summer opening BSmurf Nov 07, 08:21

....off course ROTK = LRDR3 opened with $72.62M 17th Dec 2003, so I reckon that's what WB's are up to. Gavin Nov 07, 09:01

But that opened on Wednesday and did not have 3D {nm} thatpj Nov 07, 12:43

The difference between the successful traders and the unsuccessful traders RazorHawk Nov 07, 07:45

Bingo bango bongo. Hit the head on the nail. {nm} Paul2k Nov 07, 08:04

yes thanks, looks like WB's are copying LRDR3 release. {nm} Gavin Nov 07, 09:11

I think the difference is how quick one follows the herd {nm} thatpj Nov 07, 12:44

Based on trading alone.. Since the openers don't halt till the numbers are out.. I tend to follow the trend until figures says otherwise {nm} karspov Nov 07, 07:51

plus none of the LOTR movies opened to more than $96M...and that's adjusted for inflation...worth keeping in the back of your mind at least tealfan Nov 07, 08:34

and none of them had 3D or opened over a 3 day weekend {nm} thatpj Nov 07, 12:46

LOTR3 opened closer to Xmas, on a Wed, and no 3D, but was 7th highest OW ALL TIME. 7th best today would be >$140M. {nm} forlorne Nov 07, 09:21

Shhhh...logic not allowed here. Only RS Futures can move stock. {nm} thatpj Nov 07, 12:45

It wasn't really RS futures. Traders who thought HOBIT was overpriced were waiting for any signal to short the stock. RS futures just RogerMore Nov 07, 12:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Valiant One (VLNT1) 500 6.51 (0.00)          Hourman (HRMAN) 10000 19.14 (-0.02)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 172.99 (-0.90)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.25 (+0.21)          Relay (RELAY) 150000 4.09 (+0.73)          Relay (RELAY) 150000 4.09 (+0.73)          The Lost Boys (LOSTB) 150000 2.82 (+0.02)          Yankee Comandante (YANKC) 150000 0.01 (-0.03)          Yankee Comandante (YANKC) 150000 0.01 (-0.03)          Mother Nature (MONAT) 150000 0.86 (+0.01)          Long Day’s Journey Into Night (LDSJN) 150000 0.23 (+0.02)          A Manual for Cleaning Women (AMFCW) 150000 0.27 (+0.01)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 20.59 (+1.28)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 20.59 (+1.28)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 11.84 (+1.84)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 172.99 (-0.90)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 150000 82.39 (+0.41)          Wicked (WICKD) 17672 295.54 (-0.14)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 8.19 (-0.44)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 8.19 (-0.44)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.63 (+1.62)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.63 (+1.62)          Rainn Wilson (RAWIL) 25000 37.51 (-0.25)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 1000 54.04 (+0.84)          Michelle Dockery (MDOCK) 25000 35.61 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 295.54 (-0.14)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 11.84 (+1.84)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 2500 229.70 (-0.17)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 11.84 (+1.84)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 20000 35.10 (-0.10)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 25000 54.04 (+0.84)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 2300 35.10 (-0.10)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 18677 35.10 (-0.10)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 20000 37.27 (-0.17)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 8714 203.59 (+2.13)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 2000 106.69 (+0.11)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 8714 203.59 (+2.13)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 15000 169.22 (-0.08)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 16000 155.83 (+0.25)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 20000 20.59 (+1.28)          Wicked (WICKD) 100000 295.54 (-0.14)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 135490 203.59 (+2.13)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.63 (+1.62)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 5796 203.59 (+2.13)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 12000 75.99 (+0.62)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 149999 14.96 (-0.07)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 149999 37.27 (-0.17)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 149999 134.99 (-0.75)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 100000 172.99 (-0.90)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 100000 119.75 (+0.94)