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I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's

Posted by: MattW (a.k.a del_RGV_MattW) on Dec 27, 13:31 in response to Filmstardust's post I'm thinking delist would go around 830M.

Weekdays this week about 90m (25,25,25,15)

3rd weekend ~100m

3rd set of weekdays 25m (about 6m each day)

4th weekend ~50m

But this week's Mon-Th could surprise in either direction pushing it just under 800

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 10000 229.67 (+0.17)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 25000 8.16 (+0.34)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 68738 117.80 (+1.77)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 68738 117.80 (+1.77)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 125000 3.15 (-1.00)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 5000 23.48 (-0.26)          Alan Kim (AKIM) 25000 35.57 (-0.37)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 85000 7.07 (+2.30)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 5000 19.87 (+0.04)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.76 (-0.24)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 5000 23.48 (-0.26)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 85000 9.09 (+1.63)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 25000 67.42 (-0.12)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 35000 9.09 (+1.63)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 50000 10.00 (0.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 85000 7.07 (+2.30)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 25000 174.48 (-2.07)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 85000 7.07 (+2.30)          Famous (FAMOS) 25000 20.51 (-1.42)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 35000 9.09 (+1.63)          Christine (CRSTN) 5000 26.56 (-0.10)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 25000 30.02 (+0.06)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 35000 9.09 (+1.63)          Madden (MADEN) 25000 28.74 (-0.01)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 7.07 (+2.30)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 95000 174.48 (-2.07)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 10000 65.87 (-0.18)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 100000 174.48 (-2.07)          Red One (REDON) 5000 87.11 (-0.92)          Red One (REDON) 25000 87.11 (-0.92)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 350 171.14 (+1.03)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.04 (+0.05)          Magpie (MGPIE) 150000 0.05 (+0.01)          Tyler Gillett (TYGIL) 1000 50.94 (+0.17)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 16592 55.44 (+0.27)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 400 255.27 (+2.65)          The Wild Robot $105M Blockbuster (TWRBT.BW) 25000 16.27 (+0.35)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 28.00 (-0.08)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 25000 8.16 (+0.34)          Juror No. 2 (JUROR) 149397 1.99 (+0.07)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 150000 21.59 (-0.13)          Moana 2 H$130 Call Wed-Sun (MOAN2.CA) 25000 6.20 (+0.15)          Juror No. 2 (JUROR) 603 1.99 (+0.07)          Red One (REDON) 150000 87.11 (-0.92)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 3000 47.50 (+0.21)          Red One (REDON) 150000 87.11 (-0.92)