HSX Forum

Movies

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 27, 15:13 in response to MattW's post I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's

The first three days will be close to $35m, and New Year Eve hold will be better than Christmas Eve.

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Lost Boys (LOSTB) 150000 2.80 (0.00)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 150000 65.15 (-0.90)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 150000 65.15 (-0.90)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 48.75 (-0.21)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Line (THLIN) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          The Line (THLIN) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Three Bags Full: A Sheep Detecti (3BAGF) 150000 24.43 (-0.04)          The Legend of Ochi (LOCHI) 150000 15.19 (+0.05)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 150000 45.14 (-0.58)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 150000 45.14 (-0.58)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.65 (+0.01)          The Last Adventures Of Constance (CVERT) 150000 1.30 (-0.01)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 19.15 (-0.25)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 8.44 (+3.67)          Helena Bonham Carter (HBCAR) 25000 38.31 (+0.25)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 93090 155.14 (+0.79)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 2.96 (-1.19)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 210 174.45 (-2.10)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.65 (-0.35)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Werewolves (WEREW) 2500 15.98 (-0.52)          Bullitt (BULIT) 500 28.49 (+0.10)          Bullitt (BULIT) 5000 28.49 (+0.10)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 150000 176.94 (+1.21)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 150000 176.94 (+1.21)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.25 (+0.08)          Wicked (WICKD) 25000 293.53 (+5.54)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 6.61 (+0.38)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.25 (+0.08)          Striking Rescue (STRSC) 150000 1.21 (+0.07)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 1 89.48 (+0.68)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 69.53 (-0.18)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.12 (-0.10)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.25 (+0.08)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 29.53 (+0.38)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 29.53 (+0.38)          The Movie Teller (MVTEL) 150000 0.05 (+0.04)          The Movie Teller (MVTEL) 150000 0.05 (+0.04)          The Six Triple Eight (6TRP8) 65000 0.01 (-0.03)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 150000 170.20 (-1.76)          Werewolves (WEREW) 50000 15.98 (-0.52)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 150000 354.79 (-1.12)          CW: The Librarians: The Next Cha (LIBTNC) 90 7.47 (+0.13)          Red One (REDON) 150000 86.13 (-1.90)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 293.53 (+5.54)          Michelle Dockery (MDOCK) 25000 35.25 (+0.57)          Michelle Dockery (MDOCK) 25000 35.25 (+0.57)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 100000 118.56 (+2.53)          Liam Neeson (LNEES) 25000 3.19 (-0.20)