HSX Forum

Movies

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Dec 27, 10:03 in response to second gary's post The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates...

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Father Mother Sister Brother (FMSB) 149999 2.85 (-0.09)          Father Mother Sister Brother (FMSB) 150000 2.85 (-0.09)          Andrew Stanton (ANSTA) 25000 180.04 (-1.00)          The Saint (TSAIN) 150000 13.01 (-0.19)          Justin Lin (JLIN) 25000 182.17 (-1.00)          Jason Flemyng (JFLEM) 25000 22.63 (-0.25)          The Saint (TSAIN) 149999 13.01 (-0.19)          Blade (BLAD1) 90000 66.74 (-0.03)          Jason Flemyng (JFLEM) 25000 22.63 (-0.25)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 149999 17.86 (-0.13)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 149999 17.86 (-0.13)          Blade (BLAD1) 10000 66.74 (-0.03)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 149999 63.43 (-0.69)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 150000 63.43 (-0.69)          100 Nights of Hero (100NH) 150000 17.09 (-1.17)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 100000 7.52 (+0.60)          Blade (BLAD1) 75000 66.74 (-0.03)          The One (THEON) 100000 6.90 (+0.07)          Cleopatra (CLEOP) 150000 35.24 (-0.23)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 404.21 (+2.64)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 16.54 (-0.24)          Cleopatra (CLEOP) 150000 35.24 (-0.23)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 16.54 (-0.24)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 50000 4.92 (+0.07)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 149999 105.33 (-1.65)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 24.09 (-0.14)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 24.09 (-0.14)          Lin-Manuel Miranda (LMIRA) 25000 43.24 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 50000 43.84 (-0.11)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 50000 81.96 (-0.16)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 50000 85.75 (-0.27)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 50000 87.65 (-0.33)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 50000 88.55 (-0.25)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 50000 90.38 (0.00)          Freakier Friday (FREK2) 50000 94.41 (-0.41)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 21.87 (+0.11)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 21.87 (+0.11)          Sinister Six (SINST) 150000 12.23 (+0.12)          Sinister Six (SINST) 150000 12.23 (+0.12)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 50000 101.98 (-0.11)          The Rule of Jenny Pen (TROJP) 150000 2.02 (+0.07)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 50000 105.33 (-1.65)          The Rule of Jenny Pen (TROJP) 150000 2.02 (+0.07)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 6359 155.34 (-0.56)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 50000 113.43 (-0.22)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 50000 116.90 (-0.16)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 3 (TCS53) 93580 6.65 (-0.01)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 50000 135.69 (-0.11)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 150000 53.25 (+0.30)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.08 (+0.10)