HSX Forum

Movies

its tracking better than a $29mil delist. HSX tends to undervalue movies that skew ethnic. But I have trouble believing its gonna

Posted by: Moviesnob on Jun 25, 13:07 in response to lobogotti's post It’s going to do well though. Much better than...

be profitable like the first one due to it being a sequel

no love for Sicario 2 here? the first one was an unexpected hit and in it's third weekend only went wide with 2600 theaters. lobogotti Jun 25, 12:24

Den of Thieves opened to $15.2M in January. {nm} lobogotti Jun 25, 12:36

SICA2.OW is at $15.96 {nm} Antibody Jun 25, 12:37

with an odd 1.8x expected delist multiplier. {nm} lobogotti Jun 25, 12:51

There is some dissonance between the OW warrant and the actual moviestock price that I don't normally see. {nm} soupcam Jun 25, 12:36

quite a bit. {nm} lobogotti Jun 25, 12:36

I've seen it. Emily Blunt isnt in it, so it wont play as m/f as the first one did. Its also being marketing to a heavy ethnic audience {nm} Moviesnob Jun 25, 13:00

marketing = marketed {nm} Moviesnob Jun 25, 13:00

It’s going to do well though. Much better than $29M delist. Theres some great buzz for it in my circles. {nm} lobogotti Jun 25, 13:02

But double?! SICA2 is at 71% RT vs. 93% for SICAR. {nm} Antibody Jun 25, 13:07

The sequel was fast tracked for a summer release. The market for this type of film is very dry and guys are salivating. lobogotti Jun 25, 13:14

not true. this film has been through some bumps with both production and distribution and it was delayed due to those problems Moviesnob Jun 25, 13:20

Okay, thanks for info. Still, I think Sony made the right decision here. we’ll see {nm} lobogotti Jun 25, 13:27

I don't know, making the Americans the villains doesn't seem like it'll play in Red States. {nm} Antibody Jun 25, 13:23

i think that reading will be much more straightforward to the left than the right. the right will identify with going above the law to Moviesnob Jun 25, 13:26

valid points for sure. maybe I’m too close to a broad group that loved the film and the trailer for the sequel.i lobogotti Jun 25, 13:29

I would be more inclined to agree if I didnt think this was gonna play 65%+ male and 60%+ ethnic. {nm} Moviesnob Jun 25, 13:32

I think the ethnic just helps in this case. Original Sicario, while excellent, morphed into a badass little action film that lobogotti Jun 25, 13:39

Its no accident Lionsgate dated Uncle Drew against this. They dont want a big opening for Sicario 2 and then you got AntMan & Wasp Moviesnob Jun 25, 13:47

valid points indeed. then it better open to $25M+! {nm} lobogotti Jun 25, 13:53

its tracking better than a $29mil delist. HSX tends to undervalue movies that skew ethnic. But I have trouble believing its gonna Moviesnob Jun 25, 13:07

what’s the budget? {nm} lobogotti Jun 25, 13:17

I've heard $60m+ {nm} Moviesnob Jun 25, 13:23

yeah, that’s high {nm} lobogotti Jun 25, 13:30

I'm looking forward to seeing it, i just hope it's as good as the first one. {nm} Randy Jun 25, 13:39

I rewatched the original over the weekend - the sequel is needless, and looks like a change in theme. (spoilers) RogerMore Jun 25, 13:03

thats really just the way its being marketed. The film itself is more of the dramatic action film you got with #1 Moviesnob Jun 25, 13:04

One thing I'll be interested to see is (spoilers) RogerMore Jun 25, 13:17

<inside> Moviesnob Jun 25, 13:30

OK cool, let's talk then. {nm} RogerMore Jun 25, 13:36





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Ads disabled on hsx.com


Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.65 (+1.65)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.65 (+1.65)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 17.25 (-0.60)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 17.25 (-0.60)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 100000 7.44 (-0.63)          Olivia Holt (OHOLT) 25000 12.31 (-0.51)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 7.44 (-0.63)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 25000 7.84 (-6.63)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 25000 7.84 (-6.63)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 25000 4.48 (-0.21)          Octet (OCTET) 75000 21.65 (+1.65)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 4.48 (-0.21)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 1 43.40 (-0.34)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 43.40 (-0.34)          Buddy (BUDDY) 1 6.48 (+0.10)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 6.48 (+0.10)          Fonda (FONDA) 1 8.80 (+0.71)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.80 (+0.71)          Embers (EMBER) 1 3.60 (-0.12)          Embers (EMBER) 150000 3.60 (-0.12)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 24999 7.84 (-6.63)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 25000 7.84 (-6.63)          Jack Reynor (JREYN) 25000 17.36 (-0.93)          Jack Reynor (JREYN) 25000 17.36 (-0.93)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 1 26.83 (+0.03)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 16.01 (+0.15)          Ben Wheatley (BWHEA) 25000 18.18 (+0.33)          Bob Odenkirk (BODEN) 25000 32.39 (-1.26)          Mena Massoud (MMASS) 25000 88.51 (-1.27)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 149.00 (0.00)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 25000 7.84 (-6.63)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 99.44 (-1.90)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 22.33 (-0.42)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 6.38 (+0.17)          Octet (OCTET) 1 21.65 (+1.65)          Ben Wheatley (BWHEA) 25000 18.18 (+0.33)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 100 249.08 (-0.22)          Emma Laird (ELAIR) 462 21.42 (0.00)          John Travolta (JTRAV) 25000 19.26 (-0.10)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 500 199.99 (-1.17)          Bob Odenkirk (BODEN) 25000 32.39 (-1.26)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 650 239.49 (-0.17)          The Deb (THDEB) 150000 0.58 (+0.54)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 180 11.24 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 232.88 (-0.09)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 14 68.07 (-0.14)          Bob Odenkirk (BODEN) 25000 32.39 (-1.26)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 30 50.17 (-0.14)