Movies

Dark Knight Rises: Over or Under $320 after its 2nd weekend? guesses? ivyg Jul 24, 08:49

i think definitely over... my guess is $335M... it is easily going to pass $500M {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:50

301 {nm} Oleg Max Jul 24, 08:51

the dark knight was $313M after week 2. i think it easily passes that. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:51

its already running behind BATM2 cume at this point of $182.9.... {nm} Oleg Max Jul 24, 08:53

i know but i think this weekend was an extraordinary circumstance. i think the drop off will be much less. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:58

TDKR has fallen behind the pace of TDK. TDK has outgrossed TDKR 3 of the 4 days so far. {nm} fourstars Jul 24, 08:56

312.50 {nm} Tanker Jul 24, 08:52

I get this one! (nm) wkelc Jul 24, 12:30

under...and it will NOT be hitting $500M domestically Movie Cub Jul 24, 08:56

Definitely going to go over $500M. In fact, I'm betting this weekend will blow everyone's mind with its hugeness. {nm} Biff68 Jul 24, 09:44

Under probably be in the 270ish range. If it can recover it might break 500 but only if it recovers between week 3 and 4 {nm} medv4380 Jul 24, 09:28

One of the fansites needs to do a box office school, so people can understand how to project totals islander Jul 24, 09:59

you're right i dont know how to project. that explanation would be interesting. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:47

however; do you not think its plausible that extraordinary made its opening weekend artificially low {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:49

so why wouldnt a 40 or 45% drop be possible? {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:50

because you have seen movies follow a normal distribution curve, you do not think that outliers can occur. which is naive {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:50

i am not am not saying it will or wont. i am new to all this. but to tell me that what is going on is standard does not make sense {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:52

i admit its possible that batm3 could see an unprecedented 2nd wknd upswing because of events, but something like that happening is just so islander Jul 24, 11:15

Completely Plausible to get into the 270ish range. I'm just using the line from HPOT8 medv4380 Jul 24, 10:54

im saying i think it will be above 300M that the drop off will be less than usual {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:57

but based on what islander wrote. my inital guess of 335 will definitely be wrong. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:58

the potter films, like the twilight films, are not good comparisons because the fanbases for those films have shown that they rush out islander Jul 24, 11:12

Unless you're conclude that the only the Batman Fan Base is who is showing up. It's your average person who isn't a Hard Core fan that didn' medv4380 Jul 24, 11:35

$288m {nm} xiayun Jul 24, 13:18

welcome back :) {nm} tealfan Jul 24, 15:07