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i know but i think this weekend was an extraordinary circumstance. i think the drop off will be much less. {nm}

Posted by: ivyg (a.k.a del_YKT_ivyg) on Jul 24, 08:58 in response to Oleg Max's post its already running behind BATM2 cume at this point of...

Dark Knight Rises: Over or Under $320 after its 2nd weekend? guesses? ivyg Jul 24, 08:49

i think definitely over... my guess is $335M... it is easily going to pass $500M {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:50

301 {nm} Oleg Max Jul 24, 08:51

the dark knight was $313M after week 2. i think it easily passes that. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:51

its already running behind BATM2 cume at this point of $182.9.... {nm} Oleg Max Jul 24, 08:53

i know but i think this weekend was an extraordinary circumstance. i think the drop off will be much less. ivyg Jul 24, 08:58

TDKR has fallen behind the pace of TDK. TDK has outgrossed TDKR 3 of the 4 days so far. {nm} fourstars Jul 24, 08:56

312.50 {nm} Tanker Jul 24, 08:52

I get this one! (nm) wkelc Jul 24, 12:30

under...and it will NOT be hitting $500M domestically {nm} Movie Cub Jul 24, 08:56

Definitely going to go over $500M. In fact, I'm betting this weekend will blow everyone's mind with its hugeness. {nm} Biff68 Jul 24, 09:44

Under probably be in the 270ish range. If it can recover it might break 500 but only if it recovers between week 3 and 4 {nm} medv4380 Jul 24, 09:28

One of the fansites needs to do a box office school, so people can understand how to project totals islander Jul 24, 09:59

you're right i dont know how to project. that explanation would be interesting. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:47

however; do you not think its plausible that extraordinary made its opening weekend artificially low {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:49

so why wouldnt a 40 or 45% drop be possible? {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:50

because you have seen movies follow a normal distribution curve, you do not think that outliers can occur. which is naive {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:50

i am not am not saying it will or wont. i am new to all this. but to tell me that what is going on is standard does not make sense {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:52

i admit its possible that batm3 could see an unprecedented 2nd wknd upswing because of events, but something like that happening is just so islander Jul 24, 11:15

Completely Plausible to get into the 270ish range. I'm just using the line from HPOT8 medv4380 Jul 24, 10:54

im saying i think it will be above 300M that the drop off will be less than usual {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:57

but based on what islander wrote. my inital guess of 335 will definitely be wrong. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:58

the potter films, like the twilight films, are not good comparisons because the fanbases for those films have shown that they rush out islander Jul 24, 11:12

Unless you're conclude that the only the Batman Fan Base is who is showing up. It's your average person who isn't a Hard Core fan that didn' medv4380 Jul 24, 11:35

$288m {nm} xiayun Jul 24, 13:18

welcome back :) {nm} tealfan Jul 24, 15:07





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Famous (FAMOS) 100000 22.62 (+0.91)          Rainn Wilson (RAWIL) 25000 37.39 (-0.37)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.99 (+1.98)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 12.12 (+2.12)          Michelle Dockery (MDOCK) 341 35.61 (0.00)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 14.20 (+0.31)          Wicked H$100 Put (WICKD.PU) 25000 1.03 (-0.08)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 100000 13.99 (+1.98)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.61 (+0.23)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.99 (+1.98)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 1.64 (-0.29)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 20.81 (+1.50)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 149996 8.22 (-0.41)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 68.00 (-1.12)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 172.99 (-0.90)          The SpongeBob Movie 4: Search fo (SPBO4) 50000 63.77 (+0.53)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 12.12 (+2.12)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.78 (+0.08)          Famous (FAMOS) 20000 22.62 (+0.91)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.57 (+0.16)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 1 13.99 (+1.98)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 20000 13.99 (+1.98)          J.C. Chandor (JCCHA) 25000 11.43 (+0.10)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.24 (+0.20)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 20000 20.81 (+1.50)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 3 41.16 (-0.05)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 3 41.16 (-0.05)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 3 21.17 (-0.08)          Solo Leveling - ReAwakening (SOLVL) 50000 4.53 (0.00)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 3 21.17 (-0.08)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 3 88.81 (-0.09)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 3 88.81 (-0.09)          Solo Leveling - ReAwakening (SOLVL) 50000 4.53 (0.00)          Mission: Impossible - The Final (MISS8) 3 163.27 (-0.11)          Mission: Impossible - The Final (MISS8) 3 163.27 (-0.11)          Pushpa 2: The Rule (PSHP2) 3 6.13 (-0.12)          Pushpa 2: The Rule (PSHP2) 3 6.13 (-0.12)          King of Kings (KOKNG) 3 15.37 (-0.12)          Solo Leveling - ReAwakening (SOLVL) 50000 4.53 (0.00)          King of Kings (KOKNG) 3 15.37 (-0.12)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 3 34.51 (-0.13)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 3 34.51 (-0.13)          Solo Leveling - ReAwakening (SOLVL) 50000 4.53 (0.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 1 46.49 (-0.15)          NAR (NAR) 149999 3.69 (-0.04)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 1 46.49 (-0.15)          Paddington in Peru (PADT3) 3 51.25 (-0.15)          Solo Leveling - ReAwakening (SOLVL) 50000 4.53 (0.00)          Paddington in Peru (PADT3) 3 51.25 (-0.15)          Kelly Reilly (KREIL) 25000 12.26 (+0.20)