HSX Forum

Movies

however; do you not think its plausible that extraordinary made its opening weekend artificially low {nm}

Posted by: ivyg (a.k.a del_YKT_ivyg) on Jul 24, 10:49 in response to ivyg's post you're right i dont know how to project. that explanation...

Dark Knight Rises: Over or Under $320 after its 2nd weekend? guesses? ivyg Jul 24, 08:49

i think definitely over... my guess is $335M... it is easily going to pass $500M {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:50

301 {nm} Oleg Max Jul 24, 08:51

the dark knight was $313M after week 2. i think it easily passes that. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:51

its already running behind BATM2 cume at this point of $182.9.... {nm} Oleg Max Jul 24, 08:53

i know but i think this weekend was an extraordinary circumstance. i think the drop off will be much less. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:58

TDKR has fallen behind the pace of TDK. TDK has outgrossed TDKR 3 of the 4 days so far. {nm} fourstars Jul 24, 08:56

312.50 {nm} Tanker Jul 24, 08:52

I get this one! (nm) wkelc Jul 24, 12:30

under...and it will NOT be hitting $500M domestically {nm} Movie Cub Jul 24, 08:56

Definitely going to go over $500M. In fact, I'm betting this weekend will blow everyone's mind with its hugeness. {nm} Biff68 Jul 24, 09:44

Under probably be in the 270ish range. If it can recover it might break 500 but only if it recovers between week 3 and 4 {nm} medv4380 Jul 24, 09:28

One of the fansites needs to do a box office school, so people can understand how to project totals islander Jul 24, 09:59

you're right i dont know how to project. that explanation would be interesting. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:47

however; do you not think its plausible that extraordinary made its opening weekend artificially low ivyg Jul 24, 10:49

so why wouldnt a 40 or 45% drop be possible? {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:50

because you have seen movies follow a normal distribution curve, you do not think that outliers can occur. which is naive {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:50

i am not am not saying it will or wont. i am new to all this. but to tell me that what is going on is standard does not make sense {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:52

i admit its possible that batm3 could see an unprecedented 2nd wknd upswing because of events, but something like that happening is just so islander Jul 24, 11:15

Completely Plausible to get into the 270ish range. I'm just using the line from HPOT8 medv4380 Jul 24, 10:54

im saying i think it will be above 300M that the drop off will be less than usual {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:57

but based on what islander wrote. my inital guess of 335 will definitely be wrong. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:58

the potter films, like the twilight films, are not good comparisons because the fanbases for those films have shown that they rush out islander Jul 24, 11:12

Unless you're conclude that the only the Batman Fan Base is who is showing up. It's your average person who isn't a Hard Core fan that didn' medv4380 Jul 24, 11:35

$288m {nm} xiayun Jul 24, 13:18

welcome back :) {nm} tealfan Jul 24, 15:07





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 68.06 (-1.06)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 25000 54.37 (+1.17)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 25000 54.37 (+1.17)          Acorns (ACRNS) 49999 85.28 (+0.16)          Wicked (WICKD) 25000 295.54 (-0.14)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.78 (+1.77)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.78 (+1.77)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 7113 203.59 (+2.13)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 20.74 (+1.43)          Werewolves (WEREW) 100000 16.94 (+0.99)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 20.74 (+1.43)          Famous (FAMOS) 100000 22.60 (+0.89)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 100000 20.74 (+1.43)          Kelvin Harrison Jr. (KHARR) 296 53.54 (+0.16)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 100000 13.78 (+1.77)          Grendel (GREND) 150000 23.27 (+0.06)          Wicked (WICKD) 1399 295.54 (-0.14)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 11.94 (+1.94)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 11.94 (+1.94)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 200 155.83 (+0.25)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 300 280.88 (0.00)          Flow (FLOW) 14721 2.33 (-0.01)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 198 172.99 (-0.90)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 126 280.88 (0.00)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 150000 21.17 (-0.08)          Giancarlo Esposito (GESPO) 53 50.59 (0.00)          The Return (TRETU) 25000 7.52 (-0.03)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 8000 171.46 (+0.64)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 168 203.59 (+2.13)          Juno Temple (JTEMP) 500 59.81 (+0.16)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 20000 11.94 (+1.94)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 20000 13.78 (+1.77)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 149999 34.51 (-0.13)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 20000 20.74 (+1.43)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 149999 6.48 (-0.03)          Famous (FAMOS) 20000 22.60 (+0.89)          Kit Harington (KHARI) 95 68.27 (0.00)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 1915 119.75 (+0.94)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 149998 29.55 (+0.09)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 700 25.76 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 100000 295.54 (-0.14)          Gundam (GUNDM) 149998 14.26 (+0.37)          Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 4604 68.95 (-0.21)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 833 280.88 (0.00)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 149998 24.48 (+0.12)          Brad Pitt (BPITT) 90 72.35 (+0.25)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 279 119.75 (+0.94)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 295.54 (-0.14)          The Mastermind (MSTMN) 149998 3.63 (+0.02)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 295.54 (-0.14)