HSX Forum

Movies

There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"...

Posted by: RazorHawk on Aug 16, 12:15 in response to tomcat90's post If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1...

Movies that opened midweek were adjusted:

previous + (Fri - Sun x 2.7)

Ā 

Thanksgiving Weekend was the only exception, which adjusted:

2.0 x (Weds - Sun)

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** hefevista Aug 16, 12:03

11 Threads Down {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:04

If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1 multiple for the 5 days. That's pretty "rich" compared to the old 2.0 5-day adjust {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:08

Can you post the math? I have never understood how multipliers work. {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:14

Sure, it's pretty simple. Just take the current price of $78.05 and divide by the 5-day total of $25m (which is just a guess by D). But as tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:27

Thanks! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:28

Sounds like WOM could be excellent, but it does presume it will attract additional audiences. Many WOM giants never gain that traction. {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:14

There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"... RazorHawk Aug 16, 12:15

This, Wed and Thu are holidays. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:17

or rather Thu and Fri of Thanksgiving are holidays, not so this week. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:18

Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:20

Adjust does not = delist. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:21

I know. I was just pointing out that the legs being priced in seem pretty aggressive. It all subjective at this point until the data is out {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:29

Or your assumption of $15M is too low. Thu is usually lower than Wed. V says $19M. Antibody Aug 16, 12:36

If V is correct about $19m for FSS, and they are only calling for "$25m+" for 5-day, and Wed was $5m, that only leaves $1m for Thurs haha. {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:40

$25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:41

Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:46

The point is you're using forecast/projection based on Wed. Wait until we get Friday box office. Antibody Aug 16, 13:03





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Michael (MJACK) 5000 163.12 (-0.05)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 111.27 (+20.40)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 5000 228.10 (+0.18)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 71.18 (+41.86)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 71.18 (+41.86)          Gatto (GATTO) 5000 112.24 (-0.22)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 23.29 (+1.53)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRA) 150000 1.34 (-0.03)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149999 46.77 (+6.77)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 66.73 (-0.83)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 30000 219.73 (+0.06)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 10000 32.14 (+0.38)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 5000 473.71 (-0.08)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 448.74 (-0.98)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 5000 15.11 (+1.39)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 3.62 (-0.96)          Clayface (CLAYF) 10000 82.88 (-0.15)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 10000 257.66 (-0.09)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 99000 23.29 (+1.53)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 100000 4.16 (+0.65)          Damian Lewis (DLEWI) 25000 29.97 (-0.25)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 1 28.68 (+0.12)          Clayface (CLAYF) 5000 82.88 (-0.15)          Marion Cotillard (MCOTI) 25000 14.42 (+0.10)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 15000 153.40 (+1.68)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 50000 4.16 (+0.65)          Christine (CRSTN) 1 16.62 (-0.50)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 10000 291.20 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 1 8.00 (0.00)          Zoe Saldana (ZSALD) 25000 140.94 (+0.78)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 25000 46.77 (+6.77)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 60.62 (-1.43)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 5000 420.86 (+0.26)          Hokum (HOKUM) 1 8.62 (-0.59)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 15555 119.09 (+29.27)          Emma Thompson (ETHOM) 25000 55.98 (+1.02)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 90.35 (+0.75)          Hokum (HOKUM) 1 8.62 (-0.59)          Emma Thompson (ETHOM) 25000 55.98 (+1.02)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Sam Worthington (SWORT) 25000 87.91 (+1.50)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5000 282.26 (+0.28)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 60.62 (-1.43)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 60.62 (-1.43)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 60.62 (-1.43)          Kate Winslet (KWINS) 25000 72.50 (+0.25)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 20000 4.16 (+0.65)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 10000 22.18 (+0.06)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 71.18 (+41.86)