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There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"...

Posted by: RazorHawk on Aug 16, 12:15 in response to tomcat90's post If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1...

Movies that opened midweek were adjusted:

previous + (Fri - Sun x 2.7)

Ā 

Thanksgiving Weekend was the only exception, which adjusted:

2.0 x (Weds - Sun)

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** hefevista Aug 16, 12:03

11 Threads Down {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:04

If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1 multiple for the 5 days. That's pretty "rich" compared to the old 2.0 5-day adjust {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:08

Can you post the math? I have never understood how multipliers work. {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:14

Sure, it's pretty simple. Just take the current price of $78.05 and divide by the 5-day total of $25m (which is just a guess by D). But as tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:27

Thanks! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:28

Sounds like WOM could be excellent, but it does presume it will attract additional audiences. Many WOM giants never gain that traction. {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:14

There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"... RazorHawk Aug 16, 12:15

This, Wed and Thu are holidays. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:17

or rather Thu and Fri of Thanksgiving are holidays, not so this week. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:18

Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:20

Adjust does not = delist. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:21

I know. I was just pointing out that the legs being priced in seem pretty aggressive. It all subjective at this point until the data is out {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:29

Or your assumption of $15M is too low. Thu is usually lower than Wed. V says $19M. Antibody Aug 16, 12:36

If V is correct about $19m for FSS, and they are only calling for "$25m+" for 5-day, and Wed was $5m, that only leaves $1m for Thurs haha. {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:40

$25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:41

Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:46

The point is you're using forecast/projection based on Wed. Wait until we get Friday box office. Antibody Aug 16, 13:03





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The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 500 8.55 (+1.09)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 69.33 (-0.38)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 1000 81.87 (+2.05)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 1000 280.90 (+2.50)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 3 254.98 (+2.36)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 3 254.98 (+2.36)          Wicked (WICKD) 2000 294.01 (+6.02)          Newsflash (NEWSF) 10000 0.02 (-0.02)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 24999 2.06 (-0.16)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 500 8.60 (+3.83)          Newsflash (NEWSF) 100 0.02 (-0.02)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 3 174.45 (-2.10)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 174.45 (-2.10)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 1000 8.55 (+1.09)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 1 69.33 (-0.38)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 69.33 (-0.38)          The Mastermind (MSTMN) 3000 3.62 (-0.45)          The Mastermind (MSTMN) 3000 3.62 (-0.45)          Highlander (HIGHL) 10000 24.11 (+0.04)          Highlander (HIGHL) 2173 24.11 (+0.04)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 100000 24.50 (+0.38)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 100000 118.17 (+1.25)          Wicked H$100 Put (WICKD.PU) 25000 1.16 (-0.12)          Werewolves (WEREW) 25000 15.99 (-0.51)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 1 69.33 (-0.38)          Werewolves (WEREW) 25000 15.99 (-0.51)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 99999 69.33 (-0.38)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.06 (-0.16)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.06 (-0.16)          Highlander (HIGHL) 147666 24.11 (+0.04)          Wicked (WICKD) 4917 294.01 (+6.02)          Highlander (HIGHL) 150000 24.11 (+0.04)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 2000 118.81 (+2.78)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 10000 10.67 (-0.04)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 100000 89.15 (+0.35)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 55555 89.15 (+0.35)          Eternal Return (ETRTN) 10000 7.38 (-0.05)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 12000 34.54 (+0.27)          Bring Them Down (BRTDW) 55555 1.56 (-0.37)          Wizards! (WIZRD) 10000 4.43 (-0.01)          Nonnas (NONAS) 10000 2.93 (0.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 8.60 (+3.83)          Nutcrackers (NTCRS) 10000 2.85 (-0.01)          Astaire (ASTAI) 1000 9.72 (+0.02)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 45000 2.92 (-0.01)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 25000 8.29 (+0.47)          Red One (REDON) 150000 86.12 (-1.91)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 50000 2.92 (-0.01)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 5000 2.92 (-0.01)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 120000 8.55 (+1.09)