HSX Forum
Movies
** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! **
hefevista
Aug 16, 12:03
11 Threads Down
{nm}
RollingThunder
Aug 16, 12:04
If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1 multiple for the 5 days. That's pretty "rich" compared to the old 2.0 5-day adjust
{nm}
tomcat90
Aug 16, 12:08
Can you post the math? I have never understood how multipliers work.
{nm}
Wilderness_Journey
Aug 16, 12:14
Sure, it's pretty simple. Just take the current price of $78.05 and divide by the 5-day total of $25m (which is just a guess by D). But as
tomcat90
Aug 16, 12:27
Thanks!
{nm}
Wilderness_Journey
Aug 16, 12:28
Sounds like WOM could be excellent, but it does presume it will attract additional audiences. Many WOM giants never gain that traction.
{nm}
RollingThunder
Aug 16, 12:14
There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"...
RazorHawk
Aug 16, 12:15
This, Wed and Thu are holidays.
{nm}
Antibody
Aug 16, 12:17
or rather Thu and Fri of Thanksgiving are holidays, not so this week.
{nm}
Antibody
Aug 16, 12:18
Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not
tomcat90
Aug 16, 12:20
Adjust does not = delist.
Antibody
Aug 16, 12:21
I know. I was just pointing out that the legs being priced in seem pretty aggressive. It all subjective at this point until the data is out
{nm}
tomcat90
Aug 16, 12:29
Or your assumption of $15M is too low. Thu is usually lower than Wed. V says $19M.
Antibody
Aug 16, 12:36
If V is correct about $19m for FSS, and they are only calling for "$25m+" for 5-day, and Wed was $5m, that only leaves $1m for Thurs haha.
{nm}
tomcat90
Aug 16, 12:40
$25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc.
{nm}
Antibody
Aug 16, 12:41
Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to
tomcat90
Aug 16, 12:46
The point is you're using forecast/projection based on Wed. Wait until we get Friday box office.
Antibody
Aug 16, 13:03