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Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to

Posted by: tomcat90 on Aug 16, 12:46 in response to Antibody's post $25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc.

argue for the sake of argument haha, even if we went with $19m FSS and an aggressive $30m for the 5-day, the old adjust would still only be $62.3m. So $78m is pricing in some aggressive legs, which was my original point. I'm off to the pool! Ā :)

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** hefevista Aug 16, 12:03

11 Threads Down {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:04

If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1 multiple for the 5 days. That's pretty "rich" compared to the old 2.0 5-day adjust {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:08

Can you post the math? I have never understood how multipliers work. {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:14

Sure, it's pretty simple. Just take the current price of $78.05 and divide by the 5-day total of $25m (which is just a guess by D). But as tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:27

Thanks! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:28

Sounds like WOM could be excellent, but it does presume it will attract additional audiences. Many WOM giants never gain that traction. {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:14

There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"... RazorHawk Aug 16, 12:15

This, Wed and Thu are holidays. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:17

or rather Thu and Fri of Thanksgiving are holidays, not so this week. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:18

Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:20

Adjust does not = delist. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:21

I know. I was just pointing out that the legs being priced in seem pretty aggressive. It all subjective at this point until the data is out {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:29

Or your assumption of $15M is too low. Thu is usually lower than Wed. V says $19M. Antibody Aug 16, 12:36

If V is correct about $19m for FSS, and they are only calling for "$25m+" for 5-day, and Wed was $5m, that only leaves $1m for Thurs haha. {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:40

$25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:41

Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:46

The point is you're using forecast/projection based on Wed. Wait until we get Friday box office. Antibody Aug 16, 13:03





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World War Hulk (THLK2) 150000 39.33 (+0.10)          Hokum (HOKUM) 1 8.57 (-0.64)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 67.32 (-0.24)          Zorro 2.0 (ZOROR) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Normal (NORML) 150000 20.07 (-0.93)          Antarctica (ANTRC) 150000 7.52 (0.00)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 10000 60.06 (-0.05)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 10000 60.06 (-0.05)          The Plague (TPLAG) 10000 1.50 (0.00)          Sound of Falling (SOFAL) 10000 0.22 (0.00)          Sound of Falling (SOFAL) 10000 0.22 (0.00)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 150000 0.08 (+0.02)          Islands (ISLNS) 10000 0.14 (0.00)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 7501 8.00 (0.00)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 501 21.41 (0.00)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.83 (+2.83)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 1 448.89 (-0.83)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 1 448.89 (-0.83)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 22000 21.41 (0.00)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 80100 252.73 (-0.19)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.94 (+0.06)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 30000 4.43 (+0.92)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 289.54 (-1.00)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 887 121.65 (+0.02)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.83 (+2.83)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 884 458.75 (+0.04)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 100 291.24 (+0.04)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 40000 219.56 (-0.13)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 8900 252.73 (-0.19)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150 13.77 (-0.07)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 665 291.24 (+0.04)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 817 70.01 (-0.17)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 500 27.79 (-0.03)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 8000 473.50 (-0.29)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 9000 458.75 (+0.04)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 9000 27.79 (-0.03)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 9000 291.24 (+0.04)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 9000 121.65 (+0.02)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 9000 70.01 (-0.17)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 8000 473.50 (-0.29)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 12330 420.79 (+0.19)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 149999 89.99 (-0.89)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 8000 473.50 (-0.29)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 5500 531.23 (+0.25)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 30000 4.98 (+1.29)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 20000 15.29 (+1.57)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 25000 9.39 (-0.57)          Normal (NORML) 150000 20.07 (-0.93)          Normal (NORML) 150000 20.07 (-0.93)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.89 (+0.24)