HSX Forum

Movies

The point is you're using forecast/projection based on Wed. Wait until we get Friday box office.

Posted by: Antibody on Aug 16, 13:03 in response to tomcat90's post Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's...

$62 to $78 would be legs around 3.5, which is notĀ  impossible for a female-targeted romance.

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** hefevista Aug 16, 12:03

11 Threads Down {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:04

If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1 multiple for the 5 days. That's pretty "rich" compared to the old 2.0 5-day adjust {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:08

Can you post the math? I have never understood how multipliers work. {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:14

Sure, it's pretty simple. Just take the current price of $78.05 and divide by the 5-day total of $25m (which is just a guess by D). But as tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:27

Thanks! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:28

Sounds like WOM could be excellent, but it does presume it will attract additional audiences. Many WOM giants never gain that traction. {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:14

There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"... RazorHawk Aug 16, 12:15

This, Wed and Thu are holidays. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:17

or rather Thu and Fri of Thanksgiving are holidays, not so this week. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:18

Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:20

Adjust does not = delist. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:21

I know. I was just pointing out that the legs being priced in seem pretty aggressive. It all subjective at this point until the data is out {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:29

Or your assumption of $15M is too low. Thu is usually lower than Wed. V says $19M. Antibody Aug 16, 12:36

If V is correct about $19m for FSS, and they are only calling for "$25m+" for 5-day, and Wed was $5m, that only leaves $1m for Thurs haha. {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:40

$25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:41

Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:46

The point is you're using forecast/projection based on Wed. Wait until we get Friday box office. Antibody Aug 16, 13:03





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Split Fiction (SPFIC) 2000 43.29 (+3.29)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.36 (+0.07)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.36 (+0.07)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 100000 13.86 (+0.02)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 13.86 (+0.02)          Cold Storage (CLDST) 150000 2.27 (-0.02)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.29 (+3.29)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 273.38 (+1.13)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 273.38 (+1.13)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 1 448.87 (-0.85)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.90 (+0.25)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 50000 448.87 (-0.85)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 7386 89.99 (-0.89)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 10000 9.41 (-0.55)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 14.39 (+0.50)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 14.39 (+0.50)          Christine (CRSTN) 20000 16.52 (-0.60)          The Bitter End (BTRND) 10000 1.43 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 89.99 (-0.89)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 20000 5.05 (+1.36)          Stuffed (STUFD) 10000 1.64 (+0.01)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 20000 15.39 (+1.67)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 10000 5.36 (+0.07)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 289.53 (-1.01)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 148000 43.29 (+3.29)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 289.53 (-1.01)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 10000 43.29 (+3.29)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 1 9.41 (-0.55)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 50000 9.41 (-0.55)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 10000 1.99 (-0.01)          Reading Lolita in Tehran (RLITA) 10000 0.73 (-0.02)          Poetic License (PLICN) 10000 8.82 (-0.01)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 149999 18.17 (-0.59)          Rufus Sewell (RSEWE) 1999 22.82 (+0.12)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 8120 138.53 (0.00)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 10000 31.76 (+0.04)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.29 (+3.29)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 10000 8.58 (+0.01)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 10000 8.76 (0.00)          Inground (NGRND) 10000 7.01 (-0.01)          Rufus Sewell (RSEWE) 1999 22.82 (+0.12)          I Swear (ISWEA) 10000 1.41 (+0.02)          Jonah Hill (JHILL) 1999 62.11 (+0.25)          Jonah Hill (JHILL) 2993 62.11 (+0.25)          Hokum (HOKUM) 10000 8.60 (-0.61)          High in the Clouds (HINTC) 10000 16.71 (+0.04)          Girl (GIRL) 10000 0.34 (+0.01)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 150000 34.29 (-0.13)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 8 43.29 (+3.29)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 30000 27.49 (+1.06)