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Seems much more realistic than RS. {nm}

Posted by: shadowking (a.k.a shadowking13) on Jul 06, 17:23 in response to Rolling_Thunder's post MTC Tracking: DESME $35m, PRED3 $24m

MTC Tracking: DESME $35m, PRED3 $24m {nm} Rolling_Thunder Jul 06, 16:30

Seems much more realistic than RS. shadowking Jul 06, 17:23

Agreed. {nm} badvladdy Jul 06, 17:42

shawman wrote recently that: "If MTC is higher than RS (it should not be insignificant), then actuals will be higher than MTC." Facto Jul 06, 18:01

Or actually, he used the < and > signs, and I am not entirely sure he used them correctly.... I asked for clarification, but didn't receive Facto Jul 06, 18:08

He was correct. This definitely points to DM having a good opening weekend. The "rule" has been almost flawless this summer. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 06, 18:37

But not $36 million plus good, which is what it needs right now to make its price. {nm} secretstalker Jul 06, 19:13

Yes that is exactly what I meant shawman Jul 06, 21:32

so does that mean we should expect pred to tank? {nm} tbonearelli Jul 08, 11:49

He also wrote, as another general rule,that: "If RS is higher than MTC ( it should not be insignificant), then actuals are lower than MTC." {nm} Facto Jul 06, 18:05

I don't see DESME doing that amount at ALL. Regardless of "the equation" I think RS is more on the mark this time. {nm} secretstalker Jul 06, 18:33

Yeah, I believe we've seen it track in the teens all the way until now. That MTC number really breaks the mold, here. {nm} Facto Jul 06, 18:41

The only thing that has me thinking a big weekend is the crazy amount of advertising they've poured into the film. Rolling_Thunder Jul 06, 18:47

But it's not good advertising for what the movie is... they make it look like it's all bout the minions. {nm} secretstalker Jul 06, 19:13

I'm not really into "the equation", though I do respect MTC on it's own. shadowking Jul 06, 18:50

Is it tracking like cloudy meatballs? Both Look to me like targeting the same demographic ;) {nm} karspov Jul 06, 18:37

But Despicable Me isn't nearly as good. {nm} secretstalker Jul 06, 18:40

Agreed , the trailer looks a bit confusing and the movie title certainly isn't kids friendly too {nm} karspov Jul 06, 18:43

The movie is more for kids than adults. {nm} secretstalker Jul 06, 18:47

Ugh. Not as good as "Cloudy"? Is that possible? "Cloudy" was horrendous! Sorry but it's true! {nm} Apokalips Jul 06, 23:02

Also, with the initial reviews on PRED3 quite good, I could see that one being under-estimated. There is a market for that type of movie {nm} GMov Jul 06, 18:44

There is definitely a market for that type of movie, however... shadowking Jul 06, 18:53

MTC Tracking: DESME $35m, PRED3 $24m numbersix_99 Jul 07, 03:29





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150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 149999 15.41 (-0.24)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 12.64 (-0.06)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 5.65 (-0.04)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 4.90 (-0.04)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.01)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 60.29 (-0.15)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.14 (-0.06)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.15 (-0.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.87 (-0.06)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 25000 104.68 (-0.33)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 61.16 (-0.15)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Thank You Very Much (TYVM) 150000 0.88 (-0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 8.98 (+0.10)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 15.69 (+0.12)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          We Are Storror (WSTOR) 150000 1.89 (-0.01)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 156.60 (0.00)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 55000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 149999 15.41 (-0.24)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 12.64 (-0.06)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 5.65 (-0.04)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 4.90 (-0.04)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.01)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 60.29 (-0.15)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.14 (-0.06)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.15 (-0.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.87 (-0.06)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 25000 104.68 (-0.33)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 61.16 (-0.15)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Thank You Very Much (TYVM) 150000 0.88 (-0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 8.98 (+0.10)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 15.69 (+0.12)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          We Are Storror (WSTOR) 150000 1.89 (-0.01)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 156.60 (0.00)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 55000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 149999 15.41 (-0.24)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 12.64 (-0.06)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 5.65 (-0.04)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 4.90 (-0.04)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.01)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 60.29 (-0.15)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.14 (-0.06)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.15 (-0.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.87 (-0.06)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 25000 104.68 (-0.33)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 61.16 (-0.15)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Thank You Very Much (TYVM) 150000 0.88 (-0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 8.98 (+0.10)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 15.69 (+0.12)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          We Are Storror (WSTOR) 150000 1.89 (-0.01)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 156.60 (0.00)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 55000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 149999 15.41 (-0.24)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 12.64 (-0.06)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 5.65 (-0.04)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 4.90 (-0.04)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.01)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 60.29 (-0.15)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.14 (-0.06)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.15 (-0.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.87 (-0.06)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 25000 104.68 (-0.33)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 61.16 (-0.15)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Thank You Very Much (TYVM) 150000 0.88 (-0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 8.98 (+0.10)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 15.69 (+0.12)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          We Are Storror (WSTOR) 150000 1.89 (-0.01)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 156.60 (0.00)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 55000 21.71 (+0.20)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 149999 15.41 (-0.24)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 12.64 (-0.06)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 5.65 (-0.04)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 4.90 (-0.04)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.01)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 60.29 (-0.15)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.14 (-0.06)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.15 (-0.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.87 (-0.06)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 25000 104.68 (-0.33)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 61.16 (-0.15)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 36.71 (-0.20)          Thank You Very Much (TYVM) 150000 0.88 (-0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 14.43 (+0.02)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 32.99 (-0.20)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 15.41 (-0.24)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 8.98 (+0.10)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 16.28 (-0.06)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Neighborhood Watch (NBRHW) 150000 0.84 (-0.04)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 7.22 (+0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.30 (+0.24)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.84 (+0.12)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 13.74 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 14.00 (+0.11)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Bring Her Back (BRNHB) 150000 21.71 (+0.20)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 15.69 (+0.12)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 150000 3.76 (+0.14)