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Yes that is exactly what I meant

Posted by: shawman on Jul 06, 21:32 in response to Facto's post Or actually, he used the < and > signs, and I am...

Based on this MTC/RS rule So DESME should break out big time and make 40M+ while PRED3 should bomb and make less than 20M.

But that seems incredible to me. I just dont see DESME opening that high. But this summer the rule has been working for every movie(except KFKID which broke out more than what tracking showed).

IronMan2/Shrek 4/Sex and the City2/Price of Persia/A-Team/Eclipse - RS > MTC and actuals < MTC
TS3/Knight and Day/Robin Hood - RS and MTC were close and actuals were close as well
Grown Ups/Last Airbender - MTC > RS and actuals > MTC

MTC Tracking: DESME $35m, PRED3 $24m {nm} Rolling_Thunder Jul 06, 16:30

Seems much more realistic than RS. {nm} shadowking Jul 06, 17:23

Agreed. {nm} badvladdy Jul 06, 17:42

shawman wrote recently that: "If MTC is higher than RS (it should not be insignificant), then actuals will be higher than MTC." Facto Jul 06, 18:01

Or actually, he used the < and > signs, and I am not entirely sure he used them correctly.... I asked for clarification, but didn't receive Facto Jul 06, 18:08

He was correct. This definitely points to DM having a good opening weekend. The "rule" has been almost flawless this summer. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 06, 18:37

But not $36 million plus good, which is what it needs right now to make its price. {nm} secretstalker Jul 06, 19:13

Yes that is exactly what I meant shawman Jul 06, 21:32

so does that mean we should expect pred to tank? {nm} tbonearelli Jul 08, 11:49

He also wrote, as another general rule,that: "If RS is higher than MTC ( it should not be insignificant), then actuals are lower than MTC." {nm} Facto Jul 06, 18:05

I don't see DESME doing that amount at ALL. Regardless of "the equation" I think RS is more on the mark this time. {nm} secretstalker Jul 06, 18:33

Yeah, I believe we've seen it track in the teens all the way until now. That MTC number really breaks the mold, here. {nm} Facto Jul 06, 18:41