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The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that...

Posted by: Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:16 in response to dioneta's post What is the MTC/RS Effect?

if MTC's estimate is much higher than RS's, the box office is often higher than even MTC's estimate, and if MTC's estimate is much lower than RS's, the box office is often lower than even MTC's estimate. I've also been told that the "lower" one is true more often than the higher one.

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 12500 68.38 (-0.01)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 112612 18.46 (+1.23)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 18.77 (+1.15)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 11.39 (+0.24)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 18.77 (+1.15)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 43577 125.91 (+0.83)          Companion (CMPAN) 4000 16.63 (-0.14)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 150000 9.72 (-0.72)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 50000 37.52 (-0.03)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 150000 9.72 (-0.72)          Exhibiting Forgiveness (XHBTF) 19200 2.66 (0.00)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 150000 9.72 (-0.72)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 12781 18.46 (+1.23)          Companion (CMPAN) 1000 16.63 (-0.14)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 18.77 (+1.15)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 2000 51.41 (-0.14)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 18.77 (+1.15)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 18.46 (+1.23)          Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (SUPGR) 90000 53.50 (+0.59)          Mortal Kombat 2 (MKMB2) 600 34.46 (+0.20)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 10000 52.17 (+0.16)          Passion of the Christ 2: The Res (RESUR) 2000 31.82 (+0.23)          Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (SUPGR) 100000 53.50 (+0.59)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 4000 19.38 (+0.76)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 19000 52.17 (+0.16)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 11000 2.72 (+0.30)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 489 36.53 (+0.42)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 2000 2.72 (+0.30)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 20000 38.11 (+0.03)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 3000 19.38 (+0.76)          My Old Ass (MOLAS) 20000 6.43 (+0.01)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 10000 144.23 (+1.02)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 5000 18.46 (+1.23)          Hitpig (HITPG) 2000 6.05 (-0.73)          Hard Truths (HTRUT) 20000 5.94 (-0.01)          Hitpig (HITPG) 5000 6.05 (-0.73)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 5000 125.91 (+0.83)          Conclave (CNCLV) 59000 4.48 (0.00)          Manuel Garcia-Rulfo (MGARC) 25000 56.43 (+0.16)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 59000 6.14 (0.00)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 10500 52.17 (+0.16)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 125.91 (+0.83)          Terrifier 3 (TERF3) 20000 8.52 (-0.01)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 5085 52.17 (+0.16)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 18.46 (+1.23)          A Real Pain (ARLPN) 59000 4.69 (-0.01)          Eternal Return (ETRTN) 150000 10.92 (-0.12)          Eternal Return (ETRTN) 150000 10.92 (-0.12)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 135.65 (-0.73)          Barbarella (BARBA) 149996 55.43 (+0.01)