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And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 13:14 in response to Ruthian23's post Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are...

like BOF, BOT, etc. By comparison, MTC gets the adjust direction right 60% of the time, RS about 45% of the time.

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 150000 129.52 (+0.55)          American Radical (AMRAD) 150000 0.08 (+0.02)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 3200 2.88 (+0.04)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 150000 21.89 (+0.90)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 150000 21.89 (+0.90)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 6000 14.36 (-0.18)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 0.11 (+0.02)          El Muerto (MUERT) 10000 17.83 (0.00)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 20000 12.97 (-0.14)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 59.24 (-0.20)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 149999 16.85 (+0.05)          And Then There Were None (ATTWN) 150000 0.07 (+0.01)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 4000 146.71 (-0.42)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 364 139.86 (+0.05)          Am I Ok? (AMIOK) 150000 0.17 (+0.02)          Allelujah (ALUJA) 150000 0.11 (+0.02)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 145.27 (+2.06)          Jessica Rothe (JROTH) 25000 14.86 (-0.30)          Weapons (WEPNS) 2000 25.33 (-0.45)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 145.27 (+2.06)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 2000 2.65 (+0.23)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 2000 12.06 (0.00)          Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (SUPGR) 150000 54.35 (+1.44)          IF (IMGNF) 100000 135.30 (-1.08)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 3000 18.58 (-0.30)          Across The River And Into The Tr (ATRIT) 150000 0.13 (+0.04)          Wicked (WICKD) 1158 158.35 (+0.03)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 2000 11.56 (+0.02)          Thelma (THELM) 1000 4.36 (+0.38)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 135.30 (-1.08)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 4000 17.71 (0.00)          A Problem Of Providence (APROP) 150000 0.08 (+0.04)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 1000 9.52 (-0.92)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 3000 9.52 (-0.92)          Jeff Goldblum (JGOLD) 198 67.35 (+0.25)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 2000 9.52 (-0.92)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 8000 9.52 (-0.92)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 885 8.85 (+0.01)          Trap (TRAP) 150000 61.02 (+0.04)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 21.69 (+0.99)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 10731 7.30 (+0.01)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 149515 21.89 (+0.90)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 600 264.22 (-0.25)          Save the Green Planet (STGPL) 1000 17.44 (+0.24)          Hitpig (HITPG) 25000 5.98 (-0.80)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 1000 39.95 (+0.06)          Winner (WINNR) 1980 2.60 (0.00)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 2000 17.23 (-0.14)          We Grown Now (WGNOW) 30000 0.52 (-0.02)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 149999 21.89 (+0.90)