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That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 12:43 in response to Ruthian23's post Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 4000 17.07 (-0.04)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 117000 17.07 (-0.04)          Spellbound (SPLBN) 50000 1.67 (0.00)          Robotech (RTECH) 10000 15.14 (0.00)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 20000 25.46 (-0.01)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 20000 64.41 (-0.27)          Hitpig (HITPG) 8000 6.45 (-0.33)          Barbarella (BARBA) 10000 55.43 (+0.01)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 20000 94.16 (-0.03)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 70000 17.93 (+0.70)          Barbarella (BARBA) 13000 55.43 (+0.01)          IF (IMGNF) 20000 136.34 (-0.04)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 20000 147.09 (-0.04)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 1000 67.43 (+0.05)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 3000 11.23 (+0.08)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 3200 11.23 (+0.08)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 10000 2.56 (+0.14)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 25000 36.23 (+0.12)          Akira (AKIRA) 50000 13.66 (-0.02)          Sebastian Maniscalco (SMANI) 25000 92.76 (-0.25)          Mortal Kombat 2 (MKMB2) 150000 34.36 (+0.10)          Ryan Reynolds (RREYN) 25000 107.85 (-0.33)          Phoebe Waller-Bridge (PWALL) 25000 107.33 (-0.33)          Owen Teague (OTEAG) 25000 30.65 (+0.12)          Barbarella (BARBA) 149752 55.43 (+0.01)          The Absence of Eden (KHGRD) 243 0.31 (0.00)          Alfre Woodard (AWOOD) 945 89.81 (0.00)          Diane Keaton (DKEAT) 5000 7.57 (-0.01)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 2000 10.15 (-0.29)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 3000 10.15 (-0.29)          Kathy Bates (KBATE) 2000 17.02 (0.00)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 21800 42.38 (-0.15)          Joachim Ronning (JRONN) 1000 74.97 (-0.01)          Tyler Gillett (TYGIL) 3999 51.81 (0.00)          Til Schweiger (TSCHW) 11999 14.54 (+0.01)          Riley Keough (RKEOU) 15006 1.64 (+0.04)          Riley Keough (RKEOU) 11999 1.64 (+0.04)          Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 3000 49.91 (-0.02)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 18.31 (+0.69)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 18.31 (+0.69)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 17.93 (+0.70)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 17.93 (+0.70)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 150000 10.15 (-0.29)          Kathryn Newton (KNEWT) 9999 80.42 (0.00)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 150000 10.15 (-0.29)          Hitpig (HITPG) 150000 6.45 (-0.33)          Richard Linklater (RLINK) 25000 5.71 (-0.05)          Kathryn Newton (KNEWT) 12007 80.42 (0.00)          Hitpig (HITPG) 150000 6.45 (-0.33)          Love Me (LOVME) 150000 3.76 (-0.31)