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huge "difference" :) {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18 in response to dioneta's post Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman.....

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) Antibody Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW xiayun Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though xiayun Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm} numbersix_99 Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} ShawnMR Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} baronblacksheep Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. Roger More Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm} Roger More Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 03, 07:55





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Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 1.83 (-0.20)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          William Tell (WITEL) 149996 4.36 (-0.36)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 50000 464.03 (+0.34)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 150000 144.93 (-0.12)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 15000 75.26 (+0.02)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150000 22.83 (-0.14)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 1 (TCS51) 1 19.96 (+0.36)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 80 271.31 (+23.19)          The Alto Knights (WISEG) 150000 6.35 (-0.17)          The Friend (FREND) 1 4.01 (+0.30)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 60 3.83 (-0.22)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 115.44 (+0.43)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 115.44 (+0.43)          Tangled (TANGL) 25000 78.29 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 60 5.29 (-0.71)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 80 1.83 (-0.20)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          The Moment (MOMNT) 149999 15.39 (+1.60)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 4.01 (+0.30)          The Friend (FREND) 50 4.01 (+0.30)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 50000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 1 (TCS51) 150000 19.96 (+0.36)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 169.12 (+1.53)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 121.09 (+1.36)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 121.09 (+1.36)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 149999 13.79 (+0.80)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 150000 13.79 (+0.80)          Running Man (TRUNM) 75000 99.14 (+0.37)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 84.05 (+2.28)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 37.58 (+0.67)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 500 8.66 (-0.61)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 271.31 (+23.19)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 271.31 (+23.19)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 78.29 (+1.55)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Scandalous (SCAND) 150000 8.98 (-0.07)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 150000 22.37 (-0.05)          Meet the Parents 4 (MPRN4) 150000 59.69 (-0.17)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 150000 36.96 (-0.13)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 1.83 (-0.20)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          William Tell (WITEL) 149996 4.36 (-0.36)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 50000 464.03 (+0.34)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 150000 144.93 (-0.12)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 15000 75.26 (+0.02)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150000 22.83 (-0.14)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 1 (TCS51) 1 19.96 (+0.36)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 80 271.31 (+23.19)          The Alto Knights (WISEG) 150000 6.35 (-0.17)          The Friend (FREND) 1 4.01 (+0.30)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 60 3.83 (-0.22)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 115.44 (+0.43)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 115.44 (+0.43)          Tangled (TANGL) 25000 78.29 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 60 5.29 (-0.71)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 80 1.83 (-0.20)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          The Moment (MOMNT) 149999 15.39 (+1.60)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 4.01 (+0.30)          The Friend (FREND) 50 4.01 (+0.30)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 50000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 1 (TCS51) 150000 19.96 (+0.36)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 169.12 (+1.53)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 121.09 (+1.36)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 121.09 (+1.36)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 149999 13.79 (+0.80)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 150000 13.79 (+0.80)          Running Man (TRUNM) 75000 99.14 (+0.37)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 84.05 (+2.28)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 37.58 (+0.67)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 500 8.66 (-0.61)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 271.31 (+23.19)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 271.31 (+23.19)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 78.29 (+1.55)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Scandalous (SCAND) 150000 8.98 (-0.07)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 150000 22.37 (-0.05)          Meet the Parents 4 (MPRN4) 150000 59.69 (-0.17)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 150000 36.96 (-0.13)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 1.83 (-0.20)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          William Tell (WITEL) 149996 4.36 (-0.36)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 50000 464.03 (+0.34)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 150000 144.93 (-0.12)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 15000 75.26 (+0.02)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150000 22.83 (-0.14)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 1 (TCS51) 1 19.96 (+0.36)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 80 271.31 (+23.19)          The Alto Knights (WISEG) 150000 6.35 (-0.17)          The Friend (FREND) 1 4.01 (+0.30)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 60 3.83 (-0.22)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 115.44 (+0.43)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 115.44 (+0.43)          Tangled (TANGL) 25000 78.29 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 60 5.29 (-0.71)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 80 1.83 (-0.20)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          The Moment (MOMNT) 149999 15.39 (+1.60)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 4.01 (+0.30)          The Friend (FREND) 50 4.01 (+0.30)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 50000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 1 (TCS51) 150000 19.96 (+0.36)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 169.12 (+1.53)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 121.09 (+1.36)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 121.09 (+1.36)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 149999 13.79 (+0.80)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 150000 13.79 (+0.80)          Running Man (TRUNM) 75000 99.14 (+0.37)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 84.05 (+2.28)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 37.58 (+0.67)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 500 8.66 (-0.61)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 271.31 (+23.19)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 271.31 (+23.19)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 78.29 (+1.55)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Scandalous (SCAND) 150000 8.98 (-0.07)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 150000 22.37 (-0.05)          Meet the Parents 4 (MPRN4) 150000 59.69 (-0.17)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 150000 36.96 (-0.13)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 1.83 (-0.20)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          William Tell (WITEL) 149996 4.36 (-0.36)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 50000 464.03 (+0.34)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 150000 144.93 (-0.12)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 15000 75.26 (+0.02)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150000 22.83 (-0.14)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 1 (TCS51) 1 19.96 (+0.36)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 80 271.31 (+23.19)          The Alto Knights (WISEG) 150000 6.35 (-0.17)          The Friend (FREND) 1 4.01 (+0.30)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 60 3.83 (-0.22)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 115.44 (+0.43)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 115.44 (+0.43)          Tangled (TANGL) 25000 78.29 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 60 5.29 (-0.71)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 80 1.83 (-0.20)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          The Moment (MOMNT) 149999 15.39 (+1.60)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 4.01 (+0.30)          The Friend (FREND) 50 4.01 (+0.30)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 50000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 1 (TCS51) 150000 19.96 (+0.36)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 169.12 (+1.53)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 121.09 (+1.36)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 121.09 (+1.36)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 149999 13.79 (+0.80)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 150000 13.79 (+0.80)          Running Man (TRUNM) 75000 99.14 (+0.37)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 84.05 (+2.28)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 37.58 (+0.67)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 500 8.66 (-0.61)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 271.31 (+23.19)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 271.31 (+23.19)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 78.29 (+1.55)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Scandalous (SCAND) 150000 8.98 (-0.07)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 150000 22.37 (-0.05)          Meet the Parents 4 (MPRN4) 150000 59.69 (-0.17)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 150000 36.96 (-0.13)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 1.83 (-0.20)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          William Tell (WITEL) 149996 4.36 (-0.36)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 50000 464.03 (+0.34)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 150000 144.93 (-0.12)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 15000 75.26 (+0.02)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150000 22.83 (-0.14)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 1 (TCS51) 1 19.96 (+0.36)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 80 271.31 (+23.19)          The Alto Knights (WISEG) 150000 6.35 (-0.17)          The Friend (FREND) 1 4.01 (+0.30)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 60 3.83 (-0.22)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 115.44 (+0.43)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 115.44 (+0.43)          Tangled (TANGL) 25000 78.29 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 60 5.29 (-0.71)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 80 1.83 (-0.20)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          The Moment (MOMNT) 149999 15.39 (+1.60)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 4.01 (+0.30)          The Friend (FREND) 50 4.01 (+0.30)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 50000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 1 (TCS51) 150000 19.96 (+0.36)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 169.12 (+1.53)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 121.09 (+1.36)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 121.09 (+1.36)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 149999 13.79 (+0.80)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 150000 13.79 (+0.80)          Running Man (TRUNM) 75000 99.14 (+0.37)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 84.05 (+2.28)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 37.58 (+0.67)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 500 8.66 (-0.61)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 271.31 (+23.19)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 271.31 (+23.19)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 78.29 (+1.55)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Scandalous (SCAND) 150000 8.98 (-0.07)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 150000 22.37 (-0.05)          Meet the Parents 4 (MPRN4) 150000 59.69 (-0.17)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 150000 36.96 (-0.13)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 1.83 (-0.20)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 15.39 (+1.60)          William Tell (WITEL) 149996 4.36 (-0.36)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 50000 464.03 (+0.34)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 62.73 (+1.65)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 2 (TCS52) 150000 13.27 (-1.71)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 150000 144.93 (-0.12)          Jay Kelly (JKELY) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 15000 75.26 (+0.02)