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I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22 in response to BionicMoron, EAP leader's post If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy"...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm} Antibody Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct dioneta Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW xiayun Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though xiayun Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm} numbersix_99 Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} ShawnMR Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} baronblacksheep Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. Roger More Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm} Roger More Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 03, 07:55





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150000 5.28 (+0.54)          Fing (FING) 150000 6.35 (+0.66)          Fing (FING) 150000 6.35 (+0.66)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 5.28 (+0.54)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 5.28 (+0.54)          Fing (FING) 150000 6.35 (+0.66)          Fing (FING) 150000 6.35 (+0.66)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 14.80 (+1.01)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 14.80 (+1.01)          Tron: Ares (TRON3) 16 123.58 (-0.07)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 3000 15.23 (-0.01)          Sinners H$40 Call (SINER.CA) 25000 2.21 (-0.08)          Sinners H$40 Call (SINER.CA) 25000 2.21 (-0.08)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 14.15 (+0.32)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 14.15 (+0.32)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 58.94 (-2.14)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 58.94 (-2.14)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 58.94 (-2.14)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.90 (+1.63)          Fing (FING) 150000 6.35 (+0.66)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 17.38 (+0.46)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 15.54 (+0.49)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 14.85 (+0.86)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 141373 103.23 (-0.31)          Place to Be (PLCTB) 150000 5.42 (-0.62)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 27841 58.94 (-2.14)          Barbarella (BARBA) 149999 44.90 (+1.63)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 36.76 (-1.11)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 36.76 (-1.11)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 36.76 (-1.11)          Tron: Ares (TRON3) 35000 123.58 (-0.07)          Shadow Force (SHDWF) 150000 12.17 (+0.42)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 17.38 (+0.46)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 5.28 (+0.54)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 5.28 (+0.54)          Fing (FING) 150000 6.35 (+0.66)          Fing (FING) 150000 6.35 (+0.66)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 5.28 (+0.54)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 5.28 (+0.54)          Fing (FING) 150000 6.35 (+0.66)          Fing (FING) 150000 6.35 (+0.66)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 14.80 (+1.01)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 14.80 (+1.01)          Tron: Ares (TRON3) 16 123.58 (-0.07)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 3000 15.23 (-0.01)          Sinners H$40 Call (SINER.CA) 25000 2.21 (-0.08)          Sinners H$40 Call (SINER.CA) 25000 2.21 (-0.08)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 14.15 (+0.32)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 14.15 (+0.32)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 58.94 (-2.14)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 58.94 (-2.14)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 58.94 (-2.14)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 44.90 (+1.63)          Fing (FING) 150000 6.35 (+0.66)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 17.38 (+0.46)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 15.54 (+0.49)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 14.85 (+0.86)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 141373 103.23 (-0.31)          Place to Be (PLCTB) 150000 5.42 (-0.62)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 27841 58.94 (-2.14)          Barbarella (BARBA) 149999 44.90 (+1.63)