HSX Forum

Movies

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10 in response to xiayun's post It does put $200m total into question; who would have...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm} Antibody Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? dioneta Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW xiayun Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though xiayun Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm} numbersix_99 Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} ShawnMR Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} baronblacksheep Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. Roger More Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm} Roger More Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 57 171.15 (-0.81)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 30000 6.10 (+1.33)          Heretic (HERTC) 150000 26.57 (-0.66)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 8.79 (+0.22)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 8.79 (+0.22)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 175.51 (-1.04)          Moana (MOAN1) 149910 171.14 (+1.03)          Superboys of Malegaon (SOMLG) 21000 1.20 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.01 (+0.55)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.01 (+0.55)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.45 (+0.45)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 150000 20.70 (+0.64)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 150000 20.70 (+0.64)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 6.10 (+1.33)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 6.10 (+1.33)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.22 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 288.34 (+0.35)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 150000 210.20 (+0.66)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.24 (+0.07)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 69.88 (+0.17)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 175.51 (-1.04)          The Colors Within (TCLRW) 21000 1.70 (0.00)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.22 (-0.78)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 20000 6.10 (+1.33)          The Strangers: Chapter 2 (STRN4) 150000 20.04 (+0.08)          Jurassic World Rebirth (JURA7) 10000 296.36 (+1.25)          Jurassic World Rebirth (JURA7) 10000 296.36 (+1.25)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 21000 6.22 (-0.01)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.22 (-0.78)          The Beast (TBEAS) 25000 14.89 (-0.05)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 4.24 (+0.27)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 4.24 (+0.27)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 1000 8.01 (+0.55)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 26.85 (+0.28)          Kung Fury 2 (KFURY) 5000 0.01 (-0.01)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 50000 6.10 (+1.33)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 26.85 (+0.28)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 21000 5.79 (0.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 1000 6.10 (+1.33)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 1000 37.07 (-0.56)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 20000 5.64 (0.00)          Magazine Dreams (MAGZN) 20000 2.68 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 5000 26.85 (+0.28)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 50000 11.22 (-0.78)          Inheritance (NHTNC) 21000 2.38 (0.00)          The Beast (TBEAS) 50000 14.89 (-0.05)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 150000 118.16 (+1.24)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 281 118.16 (+1.24)          Christopher Nolan (CNOLA) 25000 161.60 (+0.50)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 50000 6.10 (+1.33)