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Movies

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm}

Posted by: TheTomAsta on Jul 19, 16:32 in response to Mala-Droi's post I find their forecasts usually very off target

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.16 (+0.70)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.16 (+0.70)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.51 (+0.70)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.51 (+0.70)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.10 (+1.09)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.10 (+1.09)          The Drama (TDRAM) 25000 19.10 (+0.01)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.96 (+0.39)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.96 (+0.39)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 150000 208.71 (+1.08)          The Graduates (GRADS) 150000 0.04 (+0.02)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 168.75 (-1.75)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 168.75 (-1.75)          Naked Gun (NKGUN) 100000 53.25 (0.00)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 50000 5.10 (+0.01)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 75591 168.75 (-1.75)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 106657 168.75 (-1.75)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 38.20 (+0.36)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 38.20 (+0.36)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 26567 208.71 (+1.08)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 12000 37.49 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 100000 8.99 (-0.08)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.10 (+1.09)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 12000 16.95 (+0.02)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.10 (+1.09)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.96 (+0.39)          The Amateur (AMTUR) 15000 40.09 (+0.11)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.16 (+0.70)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.16 (+0.70)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 150000 208.71 (+1.08)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.51 (+0.70)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.51 (+0.70)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 100000 156.56 (+0.11)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 40000 76.70 (+1.69)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 25600 15.70 (-0.03)          The Senior (SENIR) 50000 3.96 (+0.39)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 168.75 (-1.75)          Blade (BLAD1) 30634 90.04 (-0.13)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 76.70 (+1.69)          A Complete Unknown (GOELC) 18991 26.27 (-0.03)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 7000 266.49 (-0.03)          Wicked (WICKD) 6999 306.77 (+0.87)          Wicked (WICKD) 16000 306.77 (+0.87)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 2000 107.14 (-0.11)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 14500 18.75 (-0.16)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 59 266.49 (-0.03)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 12600 76.70 (+1.69)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 99 266.49 (-0.03)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 45000 76.70 (+1.69)          Djimon Hounsou (DHOUN) 25000 71.50 (-0.25)