HSX Forum

Movies

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm}

Posted by: benz0 on Jul 20, 10:11 in response to benz0's post Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Ads disabled on hsx.com


Desert Warrior (DSRTW) 150000 0.66 (-0.02)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 0.61 (-0.39)          Octet (OCTET) 10000 21.29 (+1.29)          Embers (EMBER) 150000 3.40 (-0.32)          Dreams (DREMS) 150000 0.10 (-0.01)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 149.00 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 11.67 (-0.16)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 11.67 (-0.16)          Dreams (DREMS) 140000 0.10 (-0.01)          Dreams (DREMS) 150000 0.10 (-0.01)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 100000 5.82 (-2.25)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 20.10 (+0.20)          Colin Farrell (CFARR) 25000 59.76 (+0.39)          Matthew Lillard (MLILL) 25000 78.34 (+0.50)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 50000 101.43 (-2.26)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 18.68 (-0.19)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 149.00 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 50000 304.40 (-3.24)          Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (YABDU) 25000 78.50 (-0.25)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 125000 53.56 (0.00)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 25000 46.69 (-0.33)          Ty Simpkins (TSIMP) 25000 83.20 (0.00)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.29 (+1.29)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 83.35 (0.00)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.23 (+0.26)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 50000 101.43 (-2.26)          White Elephant (WELEP) 100000 16.61 (-0.07)          King Snake (KSNAK) 10000 14.27 (-0.49)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 6.42 (+0.04)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 15000 251.18 (+0.63)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 10000 8.95 (+0.92)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 80000 8.95 (+0.92)          Ally (ALLY) 15000 21.38 (+0.96)          Ally (ALLY) 8000 21.38 (+0.96)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 50000 5.12 (-0.20)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 50000 101.43 (-2.26)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 10000 5.12 (-0.20)          White Elephant (WELEP) 10000 16.61 (-0.07)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 10000 5.23 (+0.26)          Fonda (FONDA) 10000 8.51 (+0.42)          Fonda (FONDA) 20000 8.51 (+0.42)          Octet (OCTET) 10000 21.29 (+1.29)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 100000 5.82 (-2.25)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 50000 304.40 (-3.24)          Them (THEM) 100000 39.19 (+0.25)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 16.43 (-0.67)          Olivia Holt (OHOLT) 25000 12.31 (-0.51)          Colony (CLONY) 150000 2.25 (-0.02)          Leo Woodall (LWOOD) 25000 6.71 (-0.10)