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Playing & Trading Strategy

April coming in right at 550, 67%

Posted by: MattW on Apr 27, 18:16 in response to MattW's post Update

Holdovers in May I think will add around 75-100, new releases in the 550-675 range, would put the month between 60 and 75% of the average.

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17

May 575? MattW May 23, 17:55

May ended up 550. June 700. MattW Jun 05, 16:46

June 780 MattW Jun 11, 14:20

Or 880 with IO2 blowing up... {nm} MattW Jun 14, 20:15

950-975? Could very well match 2022 at this point. Very surprising {nm} MattW Jun 22, 08:54





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Queer (QUEER) 30000 3.45 (-0.31)          Mel Gibson (MGIBS) 25000 45.44 (+0.16)          Mike Leigh (MLEIG) 25000 5.11 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 16.79 (-0.08)          Peter Farrelly (FARRE) 25000 39.49 (+0.25)          Peter Stormare (PSTOR) 25000 29.60 (+0.12)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 25000 20.84 (+0.12)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 15000 166.20 (-1.08)          The Adventures of Priscilla: Que (APQD2) 150000 8.33 (-0.05)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 6838 227.44 (-1.16)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 166.20 (-1.08)          Ron Perlman (RPERL) 25000 36.73 (+0.37)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 166.20 (-1.08)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 77.60 (+0.25)          Bullitt (BULIT) 150000 28.45 (+0.16)          Red One (REDON) 75060 85.91 (-0.74)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 18.43 (+0.12)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Terence Stamp (TSTAM) 25000 23.61 (+0.12)          Untitled Monsterverse Godzilla x (GOKO3) 10554 116.65 (+0.98)          Wicked (WICKD) 5000 310.17 (-2.02)          Tim Burton (TBURT) 25000 100.04 (0.00)          Viggo Mortensen (VMORT) 25000 19.09 (+0.10)          Evil Dead Untitled (EVLD6) 40000 26.55 (-0.09)          Vincent D'Onofrio (VDONO) 25000 11.00 (+0.10)          Beautiful (BUTIF) 20000 8.83 (-0.02)          Vanessa Redgrave (VREDG) 25000 17.62 (-0.10)          Kanguva (KNGUV) 150000 2.74 (+0.02)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 15000 279.70 (-2.57)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 12500 227.44 (-1.16)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 35025 25.00 (0.00)          King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 15.24 (+0.16)          Stockholm Bloodbath (STKBB) 3 0.02 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 129818 310.17 (-2.02)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Beautiful (BUTIF) 20000 8.83 (-0.02)          Gary Oldman (GOLDM) 25000 66.09 (-0.26)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Marlon Wayans (MWAYA) 25000 26.12 (+1.12)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 20000 25.22 (-0.04)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Untitled Monsterverse Godzilla x (GOKO3) 102 116.65 (+0.98)          Spellbound (SPLBN) 100000 0.14 (-0.04)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 2500 82.23 (+0.51)          Gabriel Byrne (GBYRN) 25000 9.08 (-0.15)          Giancarlo Esposito (GESPO) 25000 50.42 (-0.16)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Jackie Chan (JCHAN) 25000 24.53 (0.00)