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Playing & Trading Strategy

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range.

Posted by: MattW on Oct 24, 22:54 in response to MattW's post General thoughts on 2022

Oct about 64% of the previous avg, November over 70%, a nice tick up from August and September's low 50 percentages.

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17

May 575? MattW May 23, 17:55

May ended up 550. June 700. MattW Jun 05, 16:46

June 780 MattW Jun 11, 14:20

Or 880 with IO2 blowing up... {nm} MattW Jun 14, 20:15

950-975? Could very well match 2022 at this point. Very surprising {nm} MattW Jun 22, 08:54





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Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 1 207.96 (+0.83)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 1 252.65 (+1.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 4000 302.74 (-1.16)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 1 370.86 (+1.50)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 4000 302.74 (-1.16)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 12.76 (-1.18)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 12.76 (-1.18)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.24 (-0.94)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.24 (-0.94)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 5000 25.00 (0.00)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 25000 159.23 (-1.50)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 25000 159.23 (-1.50)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Jake Kasdan (JKASD) 25000 142.19 (-0.66)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 6000 22.30 (-0.49)          Jake Kasdan (JKASD) 25000 142.19 (-0.66)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 1 166.21 (-1.07)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 8000 27.94 (-0.47)          Assassination (ASSNT) 150000 15.24 (+1.67)          Cleopatra (CLEOP) 7000 36.48 (-0.35)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 400 203.09 (-0.33)          Wicked (WICKD) 141890 310.18 (-2.01)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 1000 28.64 (-0.23)          The Monkey (MONKY) 600 28.64 (-0.23)          Superman (SUPRM) 5550 235.37 (-0.16)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 2000 43.43 (-0.33)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 0.31 (-0.12)          The Senior (SENIR) 14200 3.72 (-0.31)          The Senior (SENIR) 20000 3.72 (-0.31)          Superman (SUPRM) 6700 235.37 (-0.16)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 20000 22.30 (-0.49)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 600 67.58 (+0.40)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 5000 67.58 (+0.40)          Blue Moon (BLUMN) 150000 4.37 (-0.04)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 1600 67.58 (+0.40)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 47419 252.65 (+1.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 7 166.21 (-1.07)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 600 46.71 (+0.78)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 49225 27.94 (-0.47)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 149029 27.94 (-0.47)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 80.92 (-3.73)          Flow (FLOW) 119200 6.61 (+0.35)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 149999 25.00 (0.00)